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This week I spent most of my time in Vancouver, British Columbia, because
I was invited to be on Business News Network ("BNN") television, doing the Small
Caps segment. Later in the week I did a presentation for subscribers with
the Coffin brothers and Lawrence Roulston at the Metropolitan Hotel. Gibson
Marketing hosted this event.
What I found interesting about my interview on BNN was the amount of e-mails
the producer sent me before I appeared on the show. I was asked to pick five
or so companies that I could or would comment upon. There were 75 e-mails from
viewers who wanted my opinion on junior resource companies. What was amazing
is the fact that I had heard of so few of these companies. Certainly, with
more than 4,000 junior resource companies, no one can know them all.
So, after reading all 75 e-mails, I actually felt relieved that I could comment
with conviction on a few more than five companies. Taking junior resource companies
at random and knowing about 7% in a significant enough way to comment is perhaps
acceptable, but it brought to my attention the whole "investing/speculation" genre
that surrounds the junior mining sector.
Many of us (and perhaps I am guilty as well) give a false sense of what most
of the companies really represent. In many cases these companies are nothing
more than a dream, and a good measure of hope is mixed in to keep investors
holding their stock. I refer to these types of companies as "story stocks";
each one has a unique "story" -- about how it used to be a mine, or the previous
owner did not perform the correct analysis or looked in the wrong place, or
was right next to the greatest discovery in the history of mankind. On and
on the stories go, and this is quite entertaining at cocktail parties. However,
very few are bragging these days about the type of money they are making in
these markets.
Last August I was interviewed on Michael Campbell's Money Talks and
mentioned to the listeners that not only had the credit crisis begun, but also
that some in the junior resource sector were done! In fact, I went out on a
limb and said the uranium sector would be especially hard hit. Many companies
would not be able to raise more money and subsequently would basically go out
of business.
Here it is, a year later, and indeed numerous companies of all sizes are having
trouble raising more capital. Further, the prices of many of these companies
have retreated to levels that few would have imagined a couple of years ago.
During the BNN interview I ranted a bit, stating that when people buy homes,
they purchase the best possible home for their money, and the same thing when
shopping for an automobile. But when it comes to stock investing, many people
look for the cheapest stocks they can find. This is not the way to invest --
to be successful, you want your money to purchase the very best companies as
well. Generally, cheap stocks are cheap for a reason.
There is a paradox here, though, and I did not have time to state it on the
TV show. Many junior and senior resource companies are at very attractive levels
right now, and astute investors should be carefully selecting bargains at this
time. August is historically the best month to buy in to the precious metals,
and many of the better-run companies are selling at attractive valuations.
In summary, don't let the summertime blues get you down. Look at the opportunities
available, but please, if you are deciding between companies where one sells
at $5.00 and one at $0.25, be as certain as humanly possible that the cheaper
one truly is superior, not just cheaper.
It is an honor to be,
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