Printer Friendly

eMail Article

September 01, 2008

Labor Day
by Jay DeVincentis

9/1/2008 10:24:55 AM

Welcome BiWeekly Subscribers.

We're entering one of the most awesome periods in the market to trade. The September/October period is one you need to pay much attention to. Some of the biggest moves in the market have come out of this period. A subscription to one of our services is meant to give you ideas to profit from these moves. I'm making a pretty big call for the market to move higher here and put forward my argument for that move here. In addition, in my two other services, Stock Options Speculator and Explosive Stock Alert, we're backing up that call with ways you can profit.

The Stock Options Speculator is a weekly service that gives you a call on the market and our top 10 plays to profit from the market positioning. Complete with timing indicators and risk graphs, we break down the best option plays in the market, designed to double your money with sometimes as little as a 3-4% move in the market. Here's this week's top 10 list:

If you look at the column all the way to the right, you'll see the % move in the underlying stock required to cause the option to double in price. Yes, a 3.6% move in FXY (a currency index) will give you a 100% return in the option. Some of these moves can deliver returns of 500% or more. That's the service we provide. Click the link below and sign up to get the full article and all future articles for only $39 a month: http://bmb.goemerchant.com/cart/cart.aspx?ST=buy&Action=add&Merchant=stockbarometer&ItemNumber=020

Here is this morning's Daily Stock Barometer:

Labor Day

Holiday trade and Hurricanes. Who's on first?

Stock Barometer Analysis

The barometer remains in Buy Trend Mode, as we're getting a consolidation of readings here at the same level. This is indicative of a potential move - and we'll find out soon what we're going to get.

The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction, slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example, if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction.

Stock Barometer Cycle Time

Today is day 38 in our Up Cycle. The next Fib number is 55 - if we go up from here, we'll likely see it.

The Stock Barometer signals follow 5, 8, 13, 21 and sometimes 34 day Fibonacci cycles that balance with 'normal' market cycles. Knowing where you are in the current market cycle is important in deciding how long you expect to maintain a position.

Potential Cycle Reversal Dates

2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22, 5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2. We publish these dates up to 2 months in advance.

As we hit 9/2 (Tuesday), as promised, 10/3is our next date. So whichever way the market moves out of this consolidation, it'll likely do it for a while.

My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy I post the dates here.

2007 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29, 10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates: 1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15, 10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates based on 'other' cycle work were 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14, 3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15, 11/20, 12/16.

The following work is based on my spread/momentum indicators for the QQQQ, GLD, USD, USO and TLT. They are tuned to deliver signals in line with the Stock Barometer and we use them only in determining our overall outlook for the market and for pinpointing market reversals. The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in these indicators. For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal 'above zero' is more bullish than a buy signal 'below zero'.

QQQQ Spread Indicator (NASDAQ:QQQQ)

The good news about this indicator is that it's moved lower enough to support a rally. The bad point is that the longer term indicator is now pointing lower.

The QQQQ Spread Indicator will yield its own buy and sell signals that may be different from the Stock Barometer. It's meant to give us an idea of the next turn in the market.

Gold Spread Indicator (AMEX:GLD)

I think the bounce in Gold is done.

To trade Gold, utilize the Gold ETF AMEX:GLD. This gives us a general gage to the overall health of the US Economy and the markets, as well as to assists us in the entry of positions in our stock trading service.

US Dollar Index Spread Indicator (INDEX:DXY)

We told you to buy the dollar at the bottom and we remain bullish. This is overall positive for the market.

To trade the US Dollar, I'd utilize the Power Shares AMEX:UUP: US Dollar Index Bullish Fund and AMEX:UDN: US Dollar Index Bearish Fund.

Bonds Spread Indicator (AMEX:TLT)

Bonds selling off should start soon, which is bullish for the market.

To trade Bonds, I recommend Lehman's 20 year ETF AMEX:TLT. Note that the direction of bonds can have an impact on the stock market. Normally, as bonds go down, stocks will go up and as bonds go up, stocks will go down.

OIL Spread Indicator (AMEX:USO)

Oils well that ends well and so to has the oil rally run out. Throw in a weaker than expected hurricane, and the market should rally sharply!

To trade OIL, utilize AMEX:USO, the OIL ETF. We look at the price of oil as its level and direction can have an impact on the stock market.

Supporting Secondary Indicator

This indicator suggests the market is ready to bounce.

I monitor over a hundred technical indicators, some that are widely followed and some that are proprietary. These indicators break down the market internals, sentiment and money flow and give us unique insight into the market. I feature at least one here each day in support of our current outlook - and to give you an education on what professional traders utilize.

Summary of Daily Outlook

We remain in Buy (Trend) Modelooking for the market to rally here and rally sharply. The rally should move into 10/3.

Normally, going into a holiday you'd have the potential for a rally due to the light volume. However, throw in a hurricane and the market gets a little nervous. But all that should lend itself to a good rally on Tuesday and one that continues for a while.

What does that mean? Well, we're already long in the DSB and looking for the market to rally in this service. In my Stock Options Sepculator service, we'll be recommending our top 10 option plans (CALLS) and giving you risk graphs and showing you how to profit - these plays are all set to double - for more than a 100% return - with as little as a 10% move in the underlying stock. And the trifecta, in our Explosive Stock Service, we'll be giving 3 stock recommendations to profit from this market turn. If you're interested, there are links below to sign up. If you haven't tried the service before, the trial is at no cost.

Look, the market doesn't close too often - even for holidays. So when it does, it's a great time to unwind and clear your mind and refresh yourself for the next round of trades. The September/October period is usually the most awesome period to trade due to osome of the historically wild periods that have occurred and the bullish advances that we've seen off October bottoms. If you can't get excited about the opportunities in front of us, then you shouldn't be in trading:)

If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com.

Regards,

Jay DeVincentis
Dynamic Trading

Trading involves high risk. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Stockbarometer.com and all individuals affiliated with Stockbarometer.com assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results.

Patrice V. Johnson's - J.E.D.I. Trader
Stocks, Options and Options on futures advisory service.
Click here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

Explosive Stock Trader
5 position trade/portfolio - Issued as dictated by market action.
Subscribe for the low price of $9.95 per month or $95 per year.

Stock Options Speculator
SOS recommends very aggressive stock options plays that target >100% gains.
Click Here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

Angelo Campione's Advantage Credit Spreads
Using Options to Target Consistent & Conservative Profits - up 85% Annually!!!
Click Here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert
Provides buying and selling advice with 1/3 Index positioning for trends - use 2.5x Leverage and our advice as a hedge for your current portfolio.
Click Here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

ETF Advisor
ETF Advisor trades a diversified portfolio of the hottest Exchange Traded Funds.
Click Here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

Fundamental Trader Alert
Trade stocks based on a fundamental and technical analysis.
Click Here for a 4-week No Cost Trial.

Daily Stock Barometer
Issued each morning by 7:30 am Tuesday through Friday.

QQQQ Trader and Rydex Trader: issued by 10pm in the evening when the Barometer system issues a Buy or Sell Signal.

Stock Barometer Premier Membership
Click Here to learn more about this exciting offer.

Click Here to visit our subscribe page learn more about any of our services.

Earn Money referring us to your friends, family and other traders. Click here for details: http://www.stockbarometer.com/affiliate.aspx

To ensure delivery and prevent this e-mail from being delivered to your bulk mail folder, please add our 'From' e-mail address, info@stockbarometer.com, to your address book.

Important Disclosure

Futures, Options, Mutual Fund, ETF and Equity trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy/sell Futures, Options, Mutual Funds or Equities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this Web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Performance results are hypothetical. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as a lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

Investment Research Group and all individuals affiliated with Investment Research Group assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results.

Investment Research Group (IRG), as a publisher of a financial newsletter of general and regular circulation, cannot tender individual investment advice. Only a registered broker or investment adviser may advise you individually on the suitability and performance of your portfolio or specific investments.

In making any investment decision, you will rely solely on your own review and examination of the fact and records relating to such investments. Past performance of our recommendations is not an indication of future performance. The publisher shall have no liability of whatever nature in respect of any claims, damages, loss, or expense arising out of or in connection with the reliance by you on the contents of our Web site, any promotion, published material, alert, or update.

For a complete understanding of the risks associated with trading, see our Risk Disclosure.

Copyright © 2004-2009 Investment Research Group, Inc.
d/b/a www.Stockbarometer.com. All Rights Reserved.

Image rendition and html coding Copyright © 2000-2009 SafeHaven.com

« Opinions expressed at SafeHaven are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SafeHaven or its management. Articles are available via RSS/XML. Please visit RSSHelp for instructions. »