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September 24, 2008

Is Paulson to be Trusted, or is this Bush Administration Shock and Awe, 2.0?
by Reggie Middleton

Paulson's past statements, specifically, his declaration six months ago that "our institutions, our banks and investment banks, are strong," or his statement four months, "I do believe that the worst is likely to be behind us," can lead one such as myself who disliked Bush politics before it was cool to do so to wonder about this man's credibility. Stage exit left every major investment bank in this nation, the largest mortgage bank (Countrywide), the largest bankruptcy in the history of this country (Lehman), the largest THREE bailouts of any single company (Fannie, Freddie and AIG), and the imminent failure of the largest thrift (WaMu), not to mention all of the trash paper sitting on the books of banks, brokers and hedge funds (see Counterparty risk analyses - counterparty failure will open up another Pandora's box, Banks, Brokers, & Bullsh1+ part 1, and Banks, Brokers, & Bullsh1+ part 2).

Now he declares that we face a virtual financial armageddon if we do not immediately give him a revolving credit line of $700 billion+ dollars and immunity from the law and the legislature? Have I missed something here? Now, I've been known to doubt this man in the past (see Reggie Middleton says don't believe Paulson: S&L crisis 2.0, bank failure redux), but this most recent ballsy move is actually disturbing my sleep (and as cute as I may be, even I need what little sleep I can get!).

His extreme flip-flopping leads me to believe that he is either disengenious or incompetent. After all, I have considerably less resources at my disposal, and I declared as far back as April that "The worst is behind us, unless massive bank failure is considered a bad thing!".

Reggie Middleton
Reggie Middleton, LLC
Perpetual Interests, LLCTM
http://boombustblog.com/

Who am I?

Well, I fancy myself the personification of the free thinking maverick, the ultimate non-conformist as it applies to investment and analysis. I am definitively outside the box - not your typical or stereotypical Wall Street investor. I work out of my home, not a Manhattan office. I build my own technology and perform my own research - in lieu of buying it or following the crowd. I create and follow my own macro strategies and am by definition, a contrarian to the nth degree.

Since I use my research as a tool for my own investing to actually put food on my table, I can stand behind it as doing what it is supposed too - educate, illustrate and elucidate. I do not sell advice, I am not a reporter hence do not sell stories, and I do not sell research. I am an entrepreneur who exists just outside of mainstream corporate America and Wall Street. This allows me freedom to do things that many can not. For instance, I pride myself on developing some of the highest quality research available, regardless of price. No conflicts of interest, no corporate politics, no special favors. Just the hard truth as I have found it - and believe me, my team and I do find it! I welcome any and all to peruse my blog, use my custom hacked collaborative social tools, read the articles, download the files, and make a critical comparison of the opinion referencing the situation at hand and the time stamp on the blog post to the reality both at the time of the post and the present. Hopefully, you will be as impressed with the Boom Bust as I am and our constituency.

I pay for significant information and data, and am well aware of the value of quality research. I find most currently available research lacking, in both quality and quantity. The reason why I had to create my own research staff was due to my dissatisfaction with what was currently available - to both individuals and institutions.

So here I am, creating my own research for my own investment activity. What really sets my actions apart is that I offer much of what I produce to the public without charge - free to distribute and redistribute, as long as it is left unaltered and full attribution is given to the author and owner. Why would I do such a thing when others easily charge 5 and 6 digits annually for what some may consider a lesser product? It is akin to open source analysis! My ideas and implementations are actually improved and fine tuned when bounced off of the collective intellect of the many, in lieu of that of the few - no matter how smart those few may believe themselves to be.

Very recently, I have started charging for the forensics portion of my work, which has freed up the resources to develop the site to deliver even more research for free, particularly on the global macro and opinion front. This move has allowed me to serve an more diverse constituency, which now includes the institutional consumer (ie., investment turned consumer banks, hedge funds, pensions, etc,) as well as the newbie individual investor who is just getting started - basically the two polar opposites of the investing spectrum. I am proud to announce major banks as paying clients, and brand new investors who take my book recommendations and opinions on true wealth and success to heart.

So, this is how I use my background and knowledge in new media, distributed computing, risk management, insurance, financial engineering, real estate, corporate valuation and financial analysis to pursue, analyze and capitalize on global macroeconomic opportunities. I have included a more in depth bio at the bottom of the page for those who really, really need to know more about me.

Visit his blog Boom Bust Blog.

Copyright © 2007-2009 Reggie Middleton

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