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I see a lot of cackling over Obama's compensation restrictions, but to be
honest he did Wall Street a favor. Shareholders and senior management had to
have been looking for a way to reign in compensation costs (despite the fact
that the reign in would have cut their own compensation). Put it this way,
any prudent business manager could not be happy that his industry has the highest
compensation costs in the world. Think about it.
This
is that devilishly handsome investment blogger guy with his wife Sunni @ her
last birthday party. Some of you may have met her online or at a boombustblog
event, she is helping me grow the blog, and one of her many tasks is fielding
support questions from subscribers, when she is not helping build out the risk
management infrastructure of my proprietary trading operations. I am taking
all of the steps necessary to avoid becoming the casualty that you see the
investment banking, private equity and hedge fund crowd morph into.
She is a very capable woman (and a cutie too), with a over a decade and a half
experience in risk management, financial engineering, internal auditing of
financial insitutions, and energy product trading.
She served as a department manager for the risk management & regulatory
consulting arm at Ernst & Young before moving to a very large hedge fund
to perform internal auditing for US operations. Before that she worked for
an energy company in trading and risk management. Here is her ( free
registration required to view this) BoomBustBlog
page with her bio, and for those who want to know a little more about me, click
here.
I will post more info about the BoomBustblog team soon, including CFAs and
forensic CPAs. Yep, we ain't your Daddy's blog (if your daddy even knew what
a blog was)!
The problem is no one or two firms could have done it on their own. If one
(or when) one firm tries to reign in costs, workers just skip along to the
other overpaying firms. Let there be no mistake, most of Wall Street's revenue
generating line was overpaid. These guys would be hard pressed to find similar
compensation in any other line of work given their skill set.
For the Wall Streeters on the blog, don't take it personally. I am a born
and bred NYer, so many of my friends are amongst the rank of the overpaid (or
at least were), including my wife who recently was dismissed from a very prominent
brokerage firm - along with the CEO, the CFO and COO, as well as a few entire
departments. She is a beautiful person (literally), intelligent, a good mother,
quite capable, and yes - she was overpaid too! So, be aware, I am being objective.
Thus, by being forced, en masse, to curb compensation (actually, they are
being compelled since there are ways around the ban), shareholders of these
big Wall Street firms owe Obama, et. al. a bit of gratitude. I don't think
there will be a talent drain on the Street. For one, I believe that "so-called" talent
was over estimated to begin with (no one has yet come through to match or best my
risk adjusted or published blog research performance for 2007 and 2008 -
yes, that's and open challenge!), and the special skill of avoiding regulatory
oversight has its limits in terms of productivity to society. Even if the talent
on the street was not overestimated, there is still the question of where they
will go of they leave the Street. Not many industries are keen on paying someone
4 years out of grad school 3 million dollars to generate revenues unadjusted
for risk that may need to be clawed back a couple of years later.
Hey, as mentioned above, I think I put out better performance numbers and better
research than any popular outfit on the Street, and I don't even pay
myself 50-60% percent of the revenues. My money goes back in to feed and
grow the business. So, if I can be that prudent and responsible and still
outperform the Street (on a shoestring budget, may I add), then the Street
can do it as well. Simply exercise some prudence. If Wall Street banks were
run like I run my private operations, Wall Street shareholders would be that
much wealthier. As I said, you should be thanking Obama for doing for the
industry what it couldn't do for itself.
You will probably get a redistribution of talent, such as my wife helping
out with the blog - but that is a good thing, isn't it? Think about it. Now,
any institution that follows this blog can potentially get access to her talents,
experience and insights - a deep resource that was heretofore locked into a
compensation contract with your competitor. In addition, those institutions
can get it wrapped with the macro, valuation and forensic expertise of my staff.
I don't know about you, but I think some synergies will be released into the
open business environment that were squandered in the work pits of Wall Street
banks and brokers. I realize this may not be the most popular of stances, but
that is one of the reasons why my research is considered superior to practically
all of that on the sell side - I can tell the truth where other's can't, don't
or won't.
Now, if the banks don't like being told what to do, how much to pay, and generally
being micro-managed from DC, they can always just give the TARP funds back.
That won't happen anytime soon though. Paulson hooked those guys up once in
comes to intrinsic cost of capital. Taxpayer money is a lot cheaper than Buffet
money, or so they thought. There were some extrinsic costs that seem to have
slipped under the radar. In addition, let's not forget that most of these banks
are insolvent anyway (see The
Anatomy of a Sick Bank, Re:
JP Morgan, when I say insolvent, I really mean insolvent, Is
JP Morgan Taking Realistic Marks on its WaMu Portfolio Purchase? Doubtful!, About
this Bank Plan - It Won't Save the Truly Insolvent Banks!) - thus they
can't afford to give the money back!
From Bloomberg:
Giving Back
"It clearly underscores who the banks are being run for," said Doug
Sandler, the chief equity officer for Riverfront Investment Group LLC
in Richmond, Virginia, which has about $450 million in assets under
management. "It doesn't make me feel like I want to own a bunch of bank
stocks when they're kow- towing to Washington."
Frank told the bankers if they don't like the restrictions on the government
aid, they should return the funds.
"We will take it," Frank said. "If there are any obstacles to you giving
it back, we will undo those obstacles."
The CEOs said they intended to pay back the government's money. When pressed
for specifics, Mack of New York-based Morgan Stanley said he wanted to repay "some
portion of it by 2012." Stumpf said, "It would depend upon credit markets
more than anything else."
The new scrutiny of bank spending on advertising and employee programs has
led San Francisco-based Wells Fargo, which received $25 billion in TARP money,
to cancel at least two events to recognize top achievers.
Wells Fargo had best to behave - About
this Bank Plan - It Won't Save the Truly Insolvent Banks!, or Wells
Fargo Forensic Analysis. 'Nuff said!
I think the US and Euro bankers should count their blessings. After all, they
could have been a top banker in China!
From MarketWatch.com:
China Airport Executive Sentenced to DEATH!
In handing down its sentence, the court said Li's actions had resulted in
large economic losses for that nation and that the amounts involved were
extraordinary.
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