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The following is excerpted from Robert Prechter's Independent
Investor eBook. The 75-page eBook is a compilation of some of the New
York Times bestselling author's writings that challenge conventional financial
market assumptions. Visit
Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.
...The natural tendency of people to apply physics to finance explains why
successful traders are so rare and why they are so immensely rewarded for their
skills. There is no such thing as a "born trader" because people are born --
or learn very early -- to respect the laws of physics. This respect is so strong
that they apply these laws even in inappropriate situations. Most people who
follow the market closely act as if the market is a physical force aimed at
their heads. Buying during rallies and selling during declines is akin to ducking
when a rock is hurtling toward you.
Successful traders learn to do something that almost no one else can do. They
sell near the emotional extreme of a rally and buy near the emotional extreme
of a decline. The mental discipline that a successful trader shows in buying
low and selling high is akin to that of a person who sees a rock thrown at
his head and refuses to duck. He thinks, I'm betting that the rock will veer
away at the last moment, of its own accord. In this endeavor, he must ignore
the laws of physics to which his mind naturally defaults. In the physical world,
this would be insane behavior; in finance, it makes him rich.
Unfortunately, sometimes the rock does not veer. It hits the trader in the
head. All he has to rely upon is percentages. He knows from long study that
most of the time, the rock coming at him will veer away, but he also must take
the consequences when it doesn't. The emotional fortitude required to stand
in the way of a hurtling stone when you might get hurt is immense, and few
people possess it. It is, of course, a great paradox that people who can't
perform this feat get hurt over and over in financial markets and endure a
serious stoning, sometimes to death. Many great truths about life are paradoxical,
and so is this one.
For more information, download Robert Prechter's free Independent
Investor eBook. The 75-page resource teaches investors to think independently
by challenging conventional financial market assumptions.
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