|
This is a snippet from a recent issue of the Gold Forecaster with Subscriber-only
parts excluded.
In this the third part of this series we look at the fall of gold as a
medium of exchange and the freeing up of gold ownership from August 15th
1974 onwards.
We
previously stated that gold ownership was made illegal on 1st May 1933. What
we did not tell you and we correct now, was that U.S. citizens, under Order
6102, were to own up to $100 in gold coin [±5 ounces]. Today that would
be worth under $5,000 a mere token gesture to real gold owners. It acted as
a tiny 'escape valve' to the general body of citizens and did not detract from
the fact that effective gold ownership was abolished. So that we fully understand
the attitude of governments to gold [which remains real money in times of crisis]
we add this paragraph: -
Congress could easily revoke the privilege again. In fact, at no time during
this century has the U.S. government recognized the right of private gold ownership.
The Trading with the Enemy Act, which President Roosevelt invoked in 1933 to
restrict private gold transactions, remains law. Although private ownership
of gold in the United States was legalized on August 15, 1974, the power to
confiscate gold remains in the hands of the President. The President still
retains the right, under the Emergency Banking Relief Act, to "investigate,
regulate or prohibit... the importing, exporting, hoarding, melting or earmarking
of gold" in times of a declared national emergency. It is highly unlikely that
either the Courts or Congress would successfully argue that confiscatory powers
are not implicit in the Emergency Banking Relief Act if a currency crisis or
other fiscal emergency prompted the President to, once again, nationalize gold.
The 'privilege' not right, to own gold was restored to U.S. citizens
on the 15th August 1974 [not 1971, when Nixon 'floated the $ against gold and
stopped foreign central banks from converting U.S. dollars to gold]. It is
pertinent to the thinking behind this series, to understand why these moves
were made.
The entire exercise was to move gold away from the core of the monetary system
for it could not be controlled by governments and particularly the most powerful
of them on this earth, the United States. For government to have control of
money they had to control its issue away from the measuring line of gold. In
the opinion of the U.S., then the I.M.F. and then accepted by all governments money
had to be simply an un-backed I.O.U. drawn on governments. Gold had to be discredited
and sidelined to make this happen convincingly. It worked!
The $ replaces Gold
-
As the world moved out of the post-war recovery period into a global growth
period, and the U.S. $ was devalued, then floated against gold, the need
for a change in the system of foreign exchange arose. This was to cope
with the changing global economy and to counter, what was to be, a depreciating
$ as its role burgeoned into the global reserve currency. In the process
gold was, effectively, eliminated from the system.
-
President de Gaulle and his fellow European leaders, amazingly, complied
with this, after years of exchanging the $s spent in the country for gold
drawn from Fort Knox in the U.S. They were prevented from changing their
U.S. dollars into gold when U.S. gold was made unconvertible. No doubt
the huge advantages of controlling one's own money systems, nationally,
appealed to all governments. Bankers, to this day, salivate over
the thought - money unchained from gold. So for the first time in modern
history gold left the system as a medium of exchange and currencies were
issued with no backing whatsoever.
Gold is money no more.
How
could this have happened? Well, the $ had to be put into a position where it
was indispensible! The U.S. had dominance over oil supplies through the Arab
oil suppliers. The world was stunned to see the oil price rise from $8 a barrel
to $35 a barrel alongside the running price of gold. Oil was priced only in
the U.S. $. The 'cold war' was still on, so Russian oil supplies were not as
important then as now. It was O.P.E.C. that dominated the oil price and these
governments had to rely on the U.S. for their security. Their oil interests
became the vital interests of the U.S. The concept of oil priced in
any other currency was removed by the U.S. as the Persian Gulf came under the
protection of the U.S. Had Russia tried to take any from the U.S. it would
have brought the world to the brink of nuclear war. Anybody who used oil needed
to buy U.S. $s first. Thus the $ met the requirements of a medium of exchange
and spread the world over. Who needed gold after that?
It is only now, nearly 40 years later, that a tiny number of buyers pay the € for
their oil, not enough to topple the $. Certainly O.P.E.C. will only do so when
they can feel secure away from the protection of the U.S. And they will only
change that pricing if they can dominate demand more fully. This can only happen
once China is next to the States as a global economic force and insists on
using the Yuan to pay for their oil. Until then they will continue to have
sufficient of the U.S. $ to pay for their oil in dollars.
The need for gold was eliminated by its exclusion from international finance
and as a direct alternative to the $. So what, if the gold price went from
$42.35 to $850 over the next decade. Gold was relegated to a private investment
medium from its money role. The effect of the rising gold price was emasculated
in the system as the $ became an absolutely necessary medium of exchange. Gold
was money no more, but it was still considered to constitute a danger to the
$. Hence gold sales from the U.S. first, followed by gold sales from the I.M.F.,
as they used these gold sales to elevate the $ [and the SDR - unsuccessfully]
over gold, as money. They were successful, but the running gold price still
reflected the falling value of currencies.
As no government really wanted gold out of the system completely [so continued
to hold onto their reserves of gold] but still wanted the gold price to drop
back into insignificance they followed a path of accelerating gold supplies
through loaning bullion to gold miners in a process that allowed miners to
make money as the gold price was falling [accelerated sales]. So the gold price
fell from $850 to $295 through these accelerated sales and the threat of central
bank sales, until 1999 and the "Washington Agreement".
But,
at the turn of the century, through these central bank gold sales agreements,
it became clear that gold was not down and out. The cap on the central bank
sales of gold reassured the market that there would be no more than a containable
amount of gold sales each year. Bear in mind that to the central banks, the
price of gold will only be really relevant in the extreme days that may lie
ahead, not before then.
When those extreme days come the price of gold will be secondary to the amount
each central bank holds! Then the prospect of confiscating its citizen's gold
will become very attractive again.
The fact that it has happened before makes it possible that it can happen
again! It is wise to make sure that you are not vulnerable to such an act. We
will look at this in more detail in a later part of the series. Make sure you
follow this and other fundamental gold matters in the : -
Gold Forecaster regularly covers all fundamental and Technical aspects
of the gold price in the weekly newsletter.
|
Julian D. W. Phillips
Gold-Authentic Money
"Global
Watch: The Gold Forecaster" covers the global gold market. It specializes
in Central Bank Sales and details, the Indian Bullion market [supported by
a leading Indian Bullion professional], the South African markets [+ Gold
shares shares] plus the currencies of gold producers [ Euro, U.S. $, Yen,
C$, A$, and the South African Rand]. Its aim is to synthesise all the influential
gold price factors across the globe, so as to truly understand the global
reasons behind the gold price. FIND
OUT MORE
Legal Notice / Disclaimer
This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the
solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. Gold-Authentic
Money / Julian D. W. Phillips, have based this document on information obtained
from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently
verified; Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D. W. Phillips make no guarantee,
representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as
to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Gold-Authentic
Money / Julian D. W. Phillips only and are subject to change without notice.
Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D. W. Phillips assume no
warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or
completeness of any information provided within this Report and will not be
held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained
herein or any omission. Furthermore, we assume no liability for any direct
or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit which you may
incur as a result of the use and existence of the information provided within
this Report.
You should be aware that the Internet is not a completely
reliable transmission medium. Neither Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D.W. Phillips
nor any of our associates accept any liability for any loss or damage, including
without limitation loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from
your inability to access the website for any reason or for any delay in or
failure of the transmission or the receipt of any instructions or notification
sent through this website. The content of this website is the property of Gold-Authentic
Money or its licensors and is protected by copyright and other intellectual
property laws. You agree not to reproduce, re-transmit or distribute the contents
herein.
Copyright © 2003-2009 Julian D. W.
Phillips
Image rendition and html coding Copyright © 2000-2009
SafeHaven.com
ADVERTISEMENTS
« Opinions expressed at SafeHaven are those of the
individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SafeHaven
or its management. Articles are available via RSS/XML. Please
visit RSSHelp for instructions. »
|