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I first got my Certified Financial Planner (CFP ®) practitioner designation
in 1985 and I first started consulting on financial planning issues in a part-time
(now full-time) business in March 1981. Since then, I have had the opportunity
to watch major changes and trends unfold in financial planning and investing
the economy for what is now over 28 years.
Of course, much of this change occurs as responses to changes in the general
society as we are affected by economic, financial, political and social trends
both big and small. Some ideas have not changed. Think about the following
idea:
Do not spend more than what you take in.
Isn't that a simple yet obvious financial idea? It spans 2,000+ years of human
experience! What sane person would disagree with that? If you have income (or
cash inflow) of $X amount per month then it is an obviously good idea to make
sure your expenses (or cash outflow) is equal to or (hopefully) less than $X.
Is this not a timeless and obvious piece of financial wisdom that anyone would
acknowledge and agree with without hesitation?
Granted, it is not always easy. Sometimes unexpected financial events occur
such as a major illness or the loss of a job. That is understandable. However,
we strive to have inflow exceed outflow as a desirable and achievable goal.
After all, if we spend more than we take in then the shortfall must be covered
in some way. This is why we need savings. In recent years, we covered that
shortfall differently.
The usual way to cover that shortfall is DEBT.
As the debt grows, the financial balance of "income meeting or exceeding
expenses" gets screwed up and we get into financial difficulty. That, of course,
can result in economic pain and bankruptcy. It doesn't take a "financial expert" to
see or understand this.
But... is there anyone out there that would purposely disagree with
this idea? I mean, is there anyone out there that would intentionally decide
that over-spending is a worthy idea? Who would knowingly contradict ancient
wisdom and say "I disagree...we should spend more than we take in! Getting
into greater debt is a good idea!" As a CFP practitioner, I would obviously
reject such a bad idea. Who would say such a thing?!
Enter stage left...a mainstream "economist".
Now, I won't mention names here (I am tempted). I am not here to mock a person...I
am here to criticize a stupid and dangerous economic idea. I want you to recognize
economic stupidity when you hear or read it. Lately, I have read such an idea
as espoused by several very prominent "economists" (I put that in quotes because
I have a tough time believing a REAL economist would say such things and actually
mean it).
Now keep in mind that these "economists" are not giving this dumb advice to
a particular private citizen or organization (I hope not!). They are giving
this unsolicited "advice" to us collectively as a nation (through the government
and the media). These particular "economists" are adherents to the general
economic ideas of John Maynard Keynes. "Keynesian Economics" has as a central
idea that government should spend and spend and balloon its debt to help "stimulate" the
economy. The goal is to get it out of its doldrums and "back on track". This
is quackery.
It doesn't occur to these "economists" that such an event simply postpones
today's difficulties and ultimately creates greater difficulties later on.
Government debt is a forced burden on society and the politicians and
bureaucrats merely take a big financial problem today and make it a bigger
financial problem tomorrow. The government's massive trillion-dollar spending
binge will cost us dearly!
In my financial & investing seminars (www.ProsperityNetwork.net),
I talk to my students about how to manage their money in today's troubling
economy given the economic quackery that we are forced to deal with. Greater
economic difficulties are on the way and we need to prepare ourselves. We have
to stay a step ahead. Financial changes are here and we need to prepare! Financial
security will not be easy.
Hopefully, America's personal financial planners will help our populace individually
offset the great harm that is being done to them collectively as a nation.
The irony is very disturbing to me: Our troubling economic conditions have
arisen chiefly due to bad advice given to our nation from eloquent quacks that
the media presents as "prominent economists". More on this in a future essay.
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