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October 05, 2009

The Sell Side is Pushing with All of Their Might to Inflate the Market...
by Reggie Middleton

Yes, Goldman Sachs, the big, powerful, influential Wall Street bank put out a big buy reco on the very same banks that I have called insolvent. You can guess what happened, in damn near real time... First, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan `Attractive' on Earnings Outlook, Goldman Sachs Says - then... Stocks in U.S. Climb as Goldman Upgrades Banks, ISM Index Beats Estimates. I know I don't carry that Goldman pedigree, you know being a brother from Brooklyn and all. Yet, Goldman and I have disagreed on this very same issue before. Let me refresh your collective memories...

I was quite suspect of Lehman, among many other investment banks (including Goldman). See "Is Lehman really a lemming in disguise?" (Thursday, 21 February 2008) and Is this the Breaking of the Bear?. Then peruse:

• Lehman rumors may be more founded than some may have us believe Tuesday, 01 April 2008 (be sure to read through the comments, its like deja vu, all over again!)
• Lehman stock, rumors and anti-rumors that support the rumors Friday, 28 March 2008
• Funny CLO business at Lehman Friday, 04 April 2008

The esteemed Goldman Sachs did not agree with my thesis. Reference the following graph, and click it if you need to enlarge. Notice the tone, and ultimately the outright inidcation of a fall in the posts from February through April 2008, and cross reference with the rather rosy and optimistic guidance from the esteemed Goldman (Sachs) boys during the same time period, then... Oh yeah, Lehman filed for bankruptcy!!!

Now, I'm not saying that I am all that, but I am saying that Goldman is not necessarily all that as well. Or to put it more bluntly, yeah, there are a lot of smart guys over there around Broad and Wall, but there are smart guys all over the city. Intellect is a common commodity. Now, a dearth of conflicted interests is something that is a lot harder to find!!! Calling for such a trait in the Goldman headquarters will result in tumbleweeds rolling through, old western movie style, and echoes bouncing off of the walls amid all of those crickets chirping.

On that note, seek and ye shall find. See Janet Takavoli tell it like it is. I just love a woman that doesn't bite her tongue. Outright FRAUD! That's what she calls today's baking system. I just love it.

Reggie Middleton
Reggie Middleton, LLC
Perpetual Interests, LLCTM
http://boombustblog.com/

Who am I?

Well, I fancy myself the personification of the free thinking maverick, the ultimate non-conformist as it applies to investment and analysis. I am definitively outside the box - not your typical or stereotypical Wall Street investor. I work out of my home, not a Manhattan office. I build my own technology and perform my own research - in lieu of buying it or following the crowd. I create and follow my own macro strategies and am by definition, a contrarian to the nth degree.

Since I use my research as a tool for my own investing to actually put food on my table, I can stand behind it as doing what it is supposed too - educate, illustrate and elucidate. I do not sell advice, I am not a reporter hence do not sell stories, and I do not sell research. I am an entrepreneur who exists just outside of mainstream corporate America and Wall Street. This allows me freedom to do things that many can not. For instance, I pride myself on developing some of the highest quality research available, regardless of price. No conflicts of interest, no corporate politics, no special favors. Just the hard truth as I have found it - and believe me, my team and I do find it! I welcome any and all to peruse my blog, use my custom hacked collaborative social tools, read the articles, download the files, and make a critical comparison of the opinion referencing the situation at hand and the time stamp on the blog post to the reality both at the time of the post and the present. Hopefully, you will be as impressed with the Boom Bust as I am and our constituency.

I pay for significant information and data, and am well aware of the value of quality research. I find most currently available research lacking, in both quality and quantity. The reason why I had to create my own research staff was due to my dissatisfaction with what was currently available - to both individuals and institutions.

So here I am, creating my own research for my own investment activity. What really sets my actions apart is that I offer much of what I produce to the public without charge - free to distribute and redistribute, as long as it is left unaltered and full attribution is given to the author and owner. Why would I do such a thing when others easily charge 5 and 6 digits annually for what some may consider a lesser product? It is akin to open source analysis! My ideas and implementations are actually improved and fine tuned when bounced off of the collective intellect of the many, in lieu of that of the few - no matter how smart those few may believe themselves to be.

Very recently, I have started charging for the forensics portion of my work, which has freed up the resources to develop the site to deliver even more research for free, particularly on the global macro and opinion front. This move has allowed me to serve an more diverse constituency, which now includes the institutional consumer (ie., investment turned consumer banks, hedge funds, pensions, etc,) as well as the newbie individual investor who is just getting started - basically the two polar opposites of the investing spectrum. I am proud to announce major banks as paying clients, and brand new investors who take my book recommendations and opinions on true wealth and success to heart.

So, this is how I use my background and knowledge in new media, distributed computing, risk management, insurance, financial engineering, real estate, corporate valuation and financial analysis to pursue, analyze and capitalize on global macroeconomic opportunities. I have included a more in depth bio at the bottom of the page for those who really, really need to know more about me.

Visit his blog Boom Bust Blog.

Copyright © 2007-2009 Reggie Middleton

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