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During the past year or so, I have been leaning alternately toward a renewed
gold standard, then against it, then for it again, and now the pendulum swings
back again.
Is that indecision? Maybe. I prefer to call it learning.
Maybe we all should 'vacillate' back and forth a little bit on this subject,
so we can collectively come out with the right answer. For, what's the use
of 'sticking to your guns' if the guns are threatening to explode in your face
- or if there are no bullets in them?
One of the most persuasive arguments against reintroducing the classical gold
standard is the fact that we are now no longer on it.
What??
That's right. Because we are not now on a gold standard, we should not try
to return to one. Why is that so? It would only put us back in to the very
same position we were in during 1933 and 1971, respectively.
Gold standards - of whatever kind - are legislative creatures, or creatures
of treaties. In short, they are creatures of governments and, as any red-blooded
economist of the Austrian persuasion knows, anything government touches gets
screwed up somewhere along the way. Although gold is of course far more "real" than
fiat, an argument can be made that the gold standard is as much a legal fiction
as a corporation - or as so-called "legal tender" - precisely because it, just
like a corporation, is a creature of the state.
How could any gold advocate say such heretical things?
Easy. It's simply a matter of realizing the following:
What the state giveth, the state taketh away
What happened while we had a gold standard? Every time a new war came around
and we (i.e., our government) had to pay for things we (it) didn't have the
money for - out the window went the gold standard, and in flew the fiat-virus.
So what good is a gold standard if it does its restraining work on governments
and central banks only at the good graces of the State? It's like saying: "Yes,
I'll agree to be bound by this contract until I no longer agree to be bound." It's
worse than useless; it's an illusion of stability.
Just as useless are attempts to convince the "gub-mint" to let us have a gold
standard again. If it doesn't suit them (and it doesn't), then they won't.
Period!
Still thinking about writing your Congressman to vote for Ron Paul's bill
next time around? Maybe in ten or twenty years there'll be a chance - but then
again: maybe not. Or maybe the impending economic catastrophe will convince
enough people in high places to involve gold again in some form or fashion
to lend some of its stability to the currency situation. But if these highly-placed
elitists do that ( and that's an "IF" with a capital "I" and a capital "F")
they can also change their minds again.
Therein lies the problem.
So what about a parallel currency, pretty much like what's going on right
now with online digital gold currencies, except in physical bullion coin format?
Would that be better?
Well, maybe. But there are a few things to consider beforehand.
First of all, the State has the prerogative of declaring what is and what
is not "legal tender." A bullion currency cannot compete or interfere with
the State's prerogative in that regard.
Under the US Constitution, Congress also has the exclusive power to"to coin
Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard
of Weights and Measures." Does that mean a private individual or association
of individuals cannot agree to accept or not accept something of value in trade
for something else?
No. Fortunately, it doesn't mean that. That case was opened and closed by
the "Liberty Dollar" introduced by an organization called "Norfed." The Liberty
Dollar is a partially silver-backed paper-currency in circulation among a fairly
sizeable but loose association of individuals and merchants. No legal challenges
were launched by the government. In fact, representatives of several authorities
have declared that the activity is entirely legal and does not interfere with
any government prerogatives.
What then, should prevent the circulation of a gold (or silver or copper) token that
has a precise set of dimensions, weight, and fineness, but does not purport
to be a "coin" of the United States? If such a "token" were to be called a "one
ounce" (or "ten grams" or whatever) piece of gold or silver, and was commonly
accepted and circulated as such among private individuals, and was referred
to only as a "barter instrument" for example, then where would the problem
lie, at least as far as the legality of its production, use, and distribution/circulation
is concerned?
For, gold, we ned to remember, is not just "money". It is in fact the ultimate
barter instrument, which is the very reason why it functions so well as money.
Gold is value in and of itself, and therefore a perfect barter object. It's
just that as a barter object it is so liquid, and has such a high use-value
in that function that its desirability does not decrease after a certain point
with each additional unit held (i.e., what Prof. Antal Fekete calls its "constant
marginal utility") that people like to use it as money - even though it is
value in and of itself.
Leaving aside for the moment the logistical problems of how to get such a
medium into wide enough circulation, and to get merchants and producers, etc.
to accept it, and the difficulty of making it available for people and get
people to use it, what would be the advantages of such a parallel bullion currency?
Advantages of a Parallel Bullion-Currency System
- The State's "permission" is neither required - nor desired.
- No "value" relative to the national currency needs to be set by official
decree.
- There is no "issuing authority."
- Authenticity could be guaranteed by mechanical means at the point of sale
(i.e., a machine can weigh and measure the circumference and thickness of
the "bullion barter token" to determine it's authenticity, just like coin
changing machines in supermarkets today are calibrated to a set of weights
and dimensions to separate "acceptable" coins from "unacceptable - i.e.,
foreign - ones.)
- Merchants and individuals are free to accept or not accept it. (But in
a crashing fiat currency situation, the question of whether bullion or fiat
is more in demand would be speedily established).
- Each merchant can set his own "barter-token price" in terms of each good
sold according to market forces - just like they decide how much to charge
for whatever they sell right now.
- Manufacturers and wholesalers can do likewise.
- Any seller of any product (good or service) is free to set his price low
enough relative to national currency prices to entice buyers to pay in bullion
tokens if that is desired (if he wants the security inherent in earning a
medium of stable value rather than fast-depreciating paper-scrip in a currency-crash
environment).
- Buyers (savers) can freely decide if they want to pay for something in
valuable, stable bullion (to take advantage of the seller's incentives) and
thereby forego the safety of owning the bullion. On the other hand, if they'd
rather pay in fiat, they can do that and thereby "get rid of it," thus not
having to hold a depreciating asset. This way a natural, purely market-based
equilibrium price between bullion and fiat can be much easier and much faster
(and more reliably) established than through the current farce of a paper-based,
semi-official exchange like COMEX.
- Both sellers and buyers would very soon see the advantage of bullion over
fiat by being able to witness, in their own corner grocery store, this eternal
truth in action: that paper just doesn't hold its value. This would totally
obviate the need of constantly "educating" the public through writings like
these which, without media support, is an impossibility.
Yeah, But What About Confiscation?
If such a parallel currency was even remotely successful, wouldn't the government
have an incentive to "nationalize" all private gold holdings so the competition
with its own fiat system is removed from the face of the earth?
Yes, it would have such an incentive - but the currency deterioration
we all expect has almost exclusively external causes - causes that no domestic
confiscation efforts would have the power to remedy, or even affect in any
substantial way.
When the dollar is crashing against all other currencies because of US trade
and other imbalances, and because the world now has the euro as an alternative,
international dollar demand will drop. That means foreigners will divest themselves
of dollars in increasing quantities - dollars that will circulate back into
the US because now there are less foreign governments and individuals willing
to hold them.
This returning flood of dollars will not be influenced in any material way
by a domestic US gold confiscation effort. Besides, in the early stages of
a privately initiated, market-based re-monetization of gold, probably for years
to come, the vast majority of Americans still will not hold a sufficient amount
of gold to make any "confiscation" efforts lucrative enough to be worth the
government's time.
By the time enough people do own bullion in the US, the dollar will have been
devastated to the point where even the most gold-adverse administration will
very likely prefer having ANY viable medium of exchange in circulation
here. Bullion is at least more under their control than, say, a black market
in foreign currencies like the euro - or even the yuan!
An Implementation of the Euro's "Philosophy"
The beauty is that all of this would be supported by the very concept under
which the euro fiat system was developed: a bifurcated system under which the
fiat-price of gold is allowed to run free, with the goal in mind that gold
will crystallize to become the primary savings-medium, while fiat will be the
primary spending-medium.
In fact, a gold/silver barter token infrastructure would be the ideal implementation
of that very principle. It is very possible that - eventually - after all the
dust has settled, after all the societal and market upheavals inevitably associated
in the righting of a structure that has become as lopsided as our current international
money system, that bullion will not be spent but saved, and that whatever fiat
remains will not be saved, but spent. To have your savings available in an
easily spendable coin-type format is just an added boon - but a very important
one to making this system become a reality.
A Market-Based Solution to Government Largesse?
Naturally, such a system entails something that most governments today are
not willing to even entertain: a situation where governments can no longer
rely on their ability to cheaply borrow money by issuing low-interest bonds
to an unsuspecting public that believes it can "save" money (preserve buying
power) that way. Fiat-denominated bonds will carry no or little trade-in value
when the world saves its income in bullion rather than fiat. To lure people
out of bullion and into fiat, governments would have to offer a horrendous
interest rate - something that makes continued borrowing impractical to them.
Wouldn't that be nice? A market-based solution to government largesse!
My oh my, who would have thought?
So, would that mean that governments the world over would always fight any
such attempts? You bet. The only thing is that, in a crashing currency environment,
it would be an impossible thing for them to prevent. And, as is evidenced by
the fact that the euro was actually successfully implemented, there are a number
of world-system "architects" out there who understand that the current mess
is inherently untenable, and who understand that having somewhat less power
to manipulate at will is by far preferable to a systemic crash of the entire
structure where none of them will have any power left.
It's better to give up some power - and so preserve at least some of it -
than to try and cling to the idea of retaining "all power" and in the process
lose everything! It seems the brightest and most influential "architects" out
there have recognized that.
To help make this market-based solution to the impending dollar-crash a reality,
it would be great to get all of the world's gold currency experts to put their
heads together, iron out all of the wrinkles in this and other proposals, and
let the best ideas rise to the top - which I am hereby inviting them to do.
Some very practical methods for actually implementing such a system already
exist, but the theoretical groundwork must be laid first.
Let the games begin.
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