Plagues and pox, and lakes where boats have no longer have docks, and then it
gets serious. There's less water for the crops, and you can't operate the river
locks. What does it take to get your attention? The birds can't navigate, and
the farms can't be irrigated. Hoover Dam's power generation ability will be
impaired if the level of the Colorado River continues to fall. This failure
would have a major impact on the power supply for the entire region. I detect
the demented mind of FDR at work here. It now appears that the 1930's plan
for the development of the West was based on a grave miscalculation about available
water. The citizens are beginning to squeal about this old New Deal.
The latest in the financial follies by the FDRians appears to be in Florida.
The Mogambu Guru has reported that the telephone and power companies are now
recruiting families to enroll their children into the National School Lunch
Program. These entitlement recipients will receive subsidized phone service
for the entire family. The Florida telephone and power companies are now pimps
for the welfare state! Let's hear it for the Gators.In Stimulus Or Bust, We
Trust.
Medicos and nurses are busy suturing the tears in Leviathan these days.
The one lesion that is spreading quickly is the pension fund problem. On July
23, 2004, United Airlines announced that it had ceased payments to its pension
fund. The company had scheduled over 4 billion dollars to be paid into its
pension fund over the next few years. On the same day, Turner & Newall announced the cessation of all further contributions to its pension fund.
This affects some 40,000 workers. Turner & Newall, located in the UK, is a division of Federal Mogul Corporation (US).
The recent bailout of the steel industry by Bush was only a thinly veiled attempt
to avoid massive defaults on their pension liabilities.
A short history is order. The Employee Retirement Income Security Act
(ERISA) of 1974 was the start of this monster. The Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corporation had been formed to insure private pensions. Theoretically, this
Federal Agency receives no money from taxes. The PBGC is funded by premiums
from employers. On September 5, 2003, the PBGC had news for us. I know this
is going to shock you. The PBGC has a deficit. According to the auditors, 80
percent of the single private employers were under funded. The shortfall was
estimated at 400 billion dollars.
On April 10, 2004, George Bush signed the Pension Funding Equity Act.
This novel piece of legislation allows the government to set the implied rate
of return for use in the computation of pension contributions. At some future
date, the bureaucrats are going to determine a permanent implied rate of return
for pension funds. The higher the implied rate of return, the lower the contribution
needed to achieve a specific amount of future money. If one uses an implied
rate of return of one percent, large contributions must be made. However, if
one assumes a ten percent rate of return, minimal contributions would be needed.
Visualize the chicanery that is going to occur with this program. FDRians have
never been strong in logic. If they feel that the investments will return at
least 20 percent per annum, we could see a scenario where the PBGC begins giving
the pension funds money for over performing. In the world of economics, this
is called fiscal stimulus. But Wait! There's More!" If you vote for this government in the next 24 hours, they will send everybody
30 more fiscally stimulating entitlements.
On July 28, 2004, the Internal Revenue Service announced that American
income has dropped for two consecutive years. This is the first time that this
has happened since the inception of the modern tax system during W.W.II. This
information is coming directly from the IRS. Do we have a discontinuity here?
People, this trend is burnt toast. "We need more spending programs", sayeth the Keynesians. We are already 81 trillion dollars in debt! Let's roll
the dice one more time.
Troubled times create great leaders. The Canadians are already providing
that leadership. The Canadians have managed to take a firearm registration
program that was estimated at cost of 2 million dollars, and blew it up to
a final real cost of over one billion dollars. They are horrified because the
program doesn't work. Wink, wink! We are talking about some serious fiscal
creativity here. Never underestimate a desperate democracy that has access
to high quality drugs.
The US continues to ignore the problems of Fannie Mae, Ginnie Mae, Sallie
Mae, and its other relatives. The FDRians consider this to be an opportunity
for more fiscal stimulus. I humbly offer a solution. We will just reschedule
all payments. Payments are to be deferred until January of 3000. Remember,
you heard it here first! After all, we owe it to ourselves! John Maynard Keynes
would be proud if he were here now.
IT'S 2400 HOURS. DO YOU KNOW WHERE YOUR AMMUNITION IS?
Links:
Plagues and Pox:
http://www.hc-sc.gc.ca/english/westnile/
http://www.lib.uiowa.edu/hardin/md/necrotizingfasciitis.html
Water:
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5239212/
http://www.rma.usda.gov/news/info/2004/pdf/IrrAssessment2004Billings.pdf
Pensions:
http://www.teamster.org/04news/hn_040726_1.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/3919199.stm
http://www.detnews.com/2003/business/0309/05/b03-263076.htm
IRS:http://www.nytimes.com/
Canada:
http://www.baselinemag.com/article2/0,1397,1620245,00.asp
The Mogambo Guru:
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/daughty/daughty072804.html