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Prosperity usually is the first theme of politics. It is rather unpredictable
in the never ending sequence of economic boom and recession and yet so meaningful
and consequential for politicians vying for position and power. For many Americans
prosperity means steady employment and satisfactory pay. Unemployment is a
curse regarded with fear and apprehension. It seems to obsess many politicians;
their eyes are glued on the numbers which are adjusted and readjusted continually.
All want to know: what are today's numbers?
Some politicos and newsmen like to focus on the employment figures of major
American corporations. It disturbs them greatly to observe business reducing
employment in the United States and simultaneously increasing it in off-shore
branches abroad. In their view, it is unpatriotic business behavior to desert
their laboring countrymen and replace them with alien labor abroad. A new word
describes their conduct; they are "outsourcing" American jobs.
It is true, numerous companies in the fields of information technology and
manufacturing are known to outsource jobs to countries where wages are lower.
Some observers even predict that by 2008 a quarter of all technology jobs will
be located in lesser-developed countries with lower labor costs. Unfortunately,
they do not explain; they merely spread fear which weakens judgment and invites
that which they fear.
Throughout most of the 20th century American workers earned higher wages and
enjoyed higher standards of living than their peers abroad. Yet there was no
outsourcing of jobs to countries with cheaper labor. On the contrary, many
foreign jobs found their way to the U.S., giving employment to a rapidly growing
population. Many millions of immigrants flocked to these shores, seeking and
finding employment with wages among the highest in the world. Yet labor costs,
when calculated per unit of output, were among the lowest in the world. They
were low because American labor was very productive.
Labor productivity and labor costs are a direct function of the tools and
equipment used by labor. A 500-horse power tractor makes a farmer more productive
than a team of mules or horses. Economists speak of the amount of productive
capital invested per head of population that determines labor productivity
and income. The amount of capital investment in turn depends on a number of
psychological, sociological, and institutional factors such as the common habit
of saving and investing, the regard and concern for the future, the safety
of savings and investments, the laws and regulations that limit their use,
and the level of capital taxation. In other words, people who are future-oriented,
who are free and secure in their possessions, tend to be productive and prosperous.
If they remain true to their proven ways from generation to generation, they
may even excel all others.
Capital investment indeed is an important determinant of rates of income.
Yet we must not overlook the effort and skill in the use of capital. Power
tools and equipment that are used twenty-four hours a day make human labor
more productive than tools used only eight hours or just five, four, or even
fewer hours. Moreover, workers who lack the necessary skills to use the equipment
efficiently and reliably are less productive than better-trained labor. And
workers who work grudgingly and reluctantly, who call strikes and slow-downs
undoubtedly are less productive than others who are eager and diligent. Angry
workers may force employers to close their doors forever or move their jobs
somewhere else.
China is a favorite corporate destination in the search for cheaper labor.
Last year, foreign corporations invested some $60 billion in Chinese industrial
facilities; this year, they are expected to invest more than $70 billion. Many
corporation executives apparently do not realize that doing business with communist
political authorities is highly speculative. In fact, it may prove to be outrightly
reckless and foolish in years to come. After three years of futile negotiation,
Chinese authorities, for instance, forced three oil and gas corporations, Shell,
Exxon-Mobil, and Gazprom, to leave the country, leaving behind their designs,
field-development plans and technology. A British utility firm that had built
and was running a waste-water treatment plant in Shanghai was forced to pull
out after the Beijing government suddenly decreed that a fifteen percent return,
which had been agreed upon when the investment was made, was illegal. It takes
courage, patience, and much labor to navigate through the country's opaque
bureaucracy, to cope with ever changing rules and regulations, and deal with
communist officials who distrust and despise entrepreneurial profits. Moreover,
to contend with piracy and outright fraud in a communist legal system tends
to be outrightly disheartening.
A business project fraught with danger, uncertainty, or perplexity requires
a higher return than one without such impediments. An investment in China or
any other country where political and institutional conditions are antagonistic
to private capital surely merits a double-digit return consisting not only
of ordinary business return but also an additional political risk premium.
Loan funds offered to the U.S. Treasury may yield three or four percent; funds
extended to a government or enterprise in many foreign countries may need to
earn some twenty percent or more. If they yield lesser returns, the investment,
in our judgment, is imprudent and foolhardy. Yet some investors may be tempted
in hope of improving conditions in the future.
Some businessmen run away to other countries because they are unhappy in their
own, and then run back to their own because they fail abroad. Most have no
choice but to bravely meet all difficulties and challenges at home. A few corporate
leaders interested in economic ideas and policies even venture to participate
in intellectual discussions about the ideological and institutional setting
of business. Some may reach out to their own employees, offering economic instruction
which may make them more knowledgeable and productive. Others may support schools
and foundations specializing in economic education or underwrite media programs
dealing with economic issues. They all labor in the dissemination of economic
and social ideas that shape public opinion and thereby influence the institutional
setting of business.
Few economic problems, if any, are as meaningful and consequential as the
questions of employment and unemployment. They are discussed and explained
by every school of economic, social, political, and ethical thought; every
religion visits the poor and unemployed. Yet the causes of their plight are
rarely discussed without preconception, predilection, emotion, and bias. It
is more popular to charge "unpatriotic business behavior," "malicious outsourcing," or "employer
greed" than to analyze the demand for labor. Few speakers and writers have
the courage to analyze and point at popular labor laws and regulations that
paralyze the market and condemn millions of men and women to a life of chronic
unemployment.
A few economists dare apply basic economic principles to human labor. They
insist that free labor markets would suffer no mass unemployment -- just as
free goods markets suffer no chronic surpluses. And they argue that every mandatory
boost in labor costs reduces the demand for labor -- just as government fixing
of prices that are higher than market prices reduces the demand for economic
goods. Many politicians are attorneys, counselors, and solicitors unschooled
in the intricacies of inexorable economic principles; they revere the power
of manmade law. To command improvements in income and living conditions, they
may legislate a minimum wage or impose valuable fringe benefits which raise
the cost of labor and thereby reduce the demand for labor. They create surpluses
of labor especially of workers directly affected by the minimum wage law and
other fringe benefits. Having created a surplus, they grant generous unemployment
benefits which they exact from some hapless taxpayers.
In order to eradicate the evil of mass unemployment, economists would merely
remove the institutional restraints and lower the costs imposed on labor. Every
dollar of cost reduction undoubtedly would increase the demand for labor by
many thousands of unemployed workers. Every rescission of labor restraint would
render many idle Americans productive again. Economists would immediately reduce
the burden of fringe costs that weigh heavy especially on unskilled labor;
the fringes may actually double labor costs and cause much unemployment. A
five percent rate of national unemployment always hides the fact that fifty
percent of unskilled labor may be unemployed; the rate may even be higher for
minority youth in inner cities. When seen in this light, labor laws that boost
the cost of labor inflict much economic harm on the poor and breed much social
strife. They gnaw at the very foundation of society.
Labor fringes are costs to those individuals who are forced to pay them; they
are benefits to those who enjoy them. Because every reduction in benefits would
be spurned, condemned, and vilified, no matter how baneful it may be for the
young and unskilled, some economists are proposing a simple moratorium of labor-cost
legislation and regulation, that is, a temporary halt in adding costs; it would
give the labor market a chance and time for readjustment. A ten-year moratorium
may suffice to reduce significantly the unemployment rate. It undoubtedly would
allow our minority youth to work again.
A moratorium of error merely suspends the harm; it does not change old habits,
predispositions, and deeply ingrained attitudes. The true spirit of improvement
is a spirit of liberty, it is the limitation of government power.
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