"Money is like fire, an element as little troubled by moralizing as earth,
air and water. Men can employ it as a tool or they can dance around it as
if it were the incarnation of a god. Money votes socialist or monarchist,
finds a profit in pornography or translations from the Bible, commissions
Rembrandt and underwrites the technology of Auschwitz. It acquires its meaning
from the uses to which it is put." - Lewis Lapham
Here are a couple of suggestions, we are in no way stating that these suggestions
encompass everything one needs to know about trading but they can seriously
help you on your way to becoming a better trader/investor.
1) All popular magazines, news articles and TV stations should be used only
for getting information on what you should not do, in other words if they tell
you its time to buy technology its time to get ready to sell. If they tell
you the market looks like they are going to crash, we are probably close to
a bottom etc
2) Spend time learning the basics of TA and the almighty time-tested principle
of Trend analysis.
3) Have a plan. Don't be a fool and sit there wishing for that one huge win;
those that do so, always catch a falling dagger.
4) The plan should include profit targets on each and every trade, plus and
this very important, an exit plan, in case the trade does not work out.
5) Never ever, ever I will say it one more time, play Options only, it should
be part of your investment plan but not your only plan. You are far better
of playing futures if you are going to waste all your money on options only,
futures are much cleaner, less slippage, less spread and you can get a feel
for it because you can study the pattern of one market. I am not saying that
everyone should get up and play futures, but if you are going to be a fool
and play only options, then the wiser thing to do would be to learn futures
and attempt to get in tune with one of the markets i.e. Dow futures. In addition
remember the saying "A fool and his money are soon parted". Having said
that options are absolutely fabulous instruments to lock in spectacular profits
when used in moderation.
Let me talk about something I mentioned some time ago. I stated that with
proper money management one could lose his entire options portfolio and
still walk away with a profit.
We will use a 100K portfolio for this example
10% is 10K
Okay you lose the entire 10K by playing options idiotically.
Now you play nice and safely with the other 90K and you make 30% for the year.
Don't say it's not possible; examine any of the best performing sectors and
you will see that many stocks in them are up over several hundred percentage
points. These top performing sectors were among the worst performing sectors
at one time. The trick is to take a position in them at the right time and
wait for the right time to sell. So you make 27K that brings the total to 117K
but lets say you make only 20% that brings the total to 108K, you could even
make 15% and still walk away with a profit.
The key here is that you live to fight again and then you can take some of
these profits and play options once more
6) Learn to relax, if you don't relax its really hard to win.
7) Never act desperately because the little you have will be taken away from
you to teach you the true meaning of the word desperate.
8) This last rule many of you might or might not agree with me, help one person
in your lifetime and your rewards will be a 100 fold.
Additional footnotes on contrarian investing.
A true measure is that you buy because the price is at mouth-watering levels,
it's in a strong sector, and you checked the charts. Your buy passes the basic
technical analysis tests.
Most importantly, though, is that even though everything looks good, you are
scared. You are thinking, "Hey, am I the only one buying. I don't want to go
against the crowd. A true Contrarian always feels this fear and you have to
fight it, and say, "Now is the time to buy."
When you are overly confident, it's time to flee. Never get a hot head and
think you know it all. Even the best can be taken out. Keep your mental stops
tight in this volatile market.
Contrarian investing is really about emotions. You are overcoming your emotions
and playing on the emotions (fear or greed) of the crowd by taking an opposing
position.
When you take a position and people look at you with disdain or shock, you
know you are doing the right thing. When they pat you on the back it's time
to flee for the exits. The buy low sell high principle in reality is total
humbug because one can never predict the exact low or the precise top. What
one can do is buy when a market is bottoming and with luck it might actually
end up being the low and conversely start to sell when a market is topping
and with luck you might actually sell at the high. Trying to predict the exact
high or bottom is a stupid and futile endeavour.
"The only point in making money is, you can tell some big shot where to
go." - Humphrey Bogart 1899-1957