Gold and Silver ended the week on a very strong note, and the questions on
many investors and traders minds include, of course, how much farther has this
bull market run got to go, and could we see further acceleration from here?
If we stand back and look around at what is happening in commodities markets
generally, it should be abundantly clear that what we are seeing is a global
flight into hard assets, a flight that will obviously be exacerbated by a plunging
dollar. The implications of this are that, despite their current overbought
status, the rate of increase in prices of many commodities will continue to
accelerate, near-term correction or not, and when you stop to think that gold
is the king of commodities and in times of extreme uncertainty and especially
in conditions of hyperinflation is the most attractive stuff on earth, you
quickly realize that the upside potential for gold is enormous.

Many citizens of the United States see their country as the center of the
universe, which is understandable as it is continental in size and has a massively
powerful military and - until now - has possessed the "de facto" world currency.
However this view can create a dangerous myopia, particularly for U.S. investors
who tend not to invest outside their own country. The United States has exploited
the advantage and leverage potential resulting from possession of the world
currency to the absolute limit, and created debts and obligations that are
of truly astronomic proportions and are physically impossible to correct. The
inevitable consequence of all this is that the dollar is now buckling and is
set to plumb much lower levels, which will pose a grave risk for the world
financial system.

An immediate and obvious corollary of a dollar collapse is that the commodities
bull market will continue - and will accelerate. A learned associate wrote
to me with the "revelation" that gold's rise could accelerate and it could
even reach its 1979 high in the $840 area. $840?! - this is nothing considering
what's bearing down on us, especially if you factor in all the inflation since
1979. While there are striking parallels between the late 1970's and what is
going on now, the analogy should not be pushed too far - because the situation
we are now in is far worse, and could easily result in gold racing quickly
towards $2000 - $3000, and if what is written about the silver supply situation
is even half true, it will go to the moon.
Many United States investors need to wake up fast and start "thinking outside
the box" if they are to preserve their capital. Here is a fact of life - if
your assets are denominated in US dollars and the dollar falls in value on
world markets by say 50% over the next year or two, as is possible, you will
have lost half your capital. It may not seem like it at first as you go about
your local shopping, but just watch the inflation that comes down the pipe
and you'll discover the new reality soon enough. Better still, try going on
a foreign holiday and see how far you get.
So what's a poor US investor to do? The solution is actually simple and involves
two key planks. The first thing you have to do is get your money out of US
denominated assets, and the second thing is to invest in hard assets - Base
Metals, Precious Metals, Oil and Commodities generally, via stocks or other
instruments that are not priced in US dollars. In other words, put your money
into hard assets priced in more resilient currencies.
Another key point is that the Precious Metals market especially appears to
be moving up through the gears, and shifting from a trading market, with rallies
followed by substantial reactions, to a situation where it will be rising steeply,
and more or less continuously for a significant period. Therefore, investors
should increasingly desist from trading this market and instead buy and hold.
On www.clivemaund.com we specialize
in picking Precious Metals stocks that are set to outperform on the US markets
themselves, of course, but also cover a large number of stocks that are priced
in other currencies, especially in Australian and Canadian dollars. Many stocks
have already risen substantially, and we have recently been rotating out of
some of them and into those that just starting to take off, thus increasing
leverage.