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Finally we turned the corner in gold stocks. The trend is now UP! The XAU
and HUI closed above their resistance downtrend lines yesterday and, more importantly,
both the XAU/gld and HUI/gld ratios did too. Over the past few years, more
than anything else, the changes in the trend of THESE two indicators have been
the most reliable signal of trend changes in the overall gold market.
The last time we saw downtrends in the XAU and HUI reverse their course, both
the XAU/gld and HUI/gld ratios snapped back. This was back in March after the
March bottom. History is now repeating itself right in front of our eyes and
that means we can expect to see gold stocks march higher over the next few
weeks. The next resistance point on the XAU is in the 145-155 area. We'll likely
get there sometime during July, then consolidate for a few weeks, before breaking
out again at some point in August to launch the next big bull run.
Yesterday's action was what I was looking for back in May. If you can remember,
the XAU and HUI consolidated and began to trade in a very narrow range. It
looked like it was going to break out. Instead both touched their resistance
points and then fell straight down. BUT, this time we finally got the key breakout.
And not only that, it has come after last week's bottom.
When we look back at all of this action a year from now we'll be able to point
to June the fourteenth as a key day for gold stocks. The day before, gold stocks
and the metal closed on lows. Then on the fourteenth both gapped up on the
open. Gold then plunged around 40 points while the XAU held up and finished
strong going in to the close. That was the type of positive action you see
at major bottoms for gold stocks. Knowing that this happened last week makes
the downside very limited for getting in now or continuing to hold.
To find out what gold stocks Swanson is buying now join his free weekly gold
report. Start now: http://wallstreetwindow.com/weeklygold.htm.
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Michael Swanson,
WallStreetWindow.com
Disclaimer: Michael Swanson is the President of USA Capital, Inc.,
which provides management, support, and research for institutional investors,
hedge funds, and mutual funds. The ChartWizard is also an employee of USA,
Capital, Inc. Both Swanson and employees and associates of USA Capital, Inc.
may have a position in securities which they mention on WallStreetWindow or
any of its services. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. Under no
circumstances should the information received from WallStreetWindow represent
a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. WallStreetWindow contains
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which owns WallStreetWindow, provide individual investment advice and will
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contained on WallSteetWindow may be deemed investment advice, such information
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Past results of WallStreetWindow, the ChartWizard, or Michael Swanson are not
necessarily indicative of future performance.
WallStreetWindow does not represent the accuracy nor does it warranty the
accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the statements made on its web site
or in its email alerts. The information provided should therefore be used as
a basis for continued, independent research into a security referenced on WallStreetWindow
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Copyright © 2004-2009 Michael Swanson
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