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For years officials at the Federal Reserve Bank, including Chairman Bernanke
himself, have assured us that inflation is under control and not a problem--
even as the price of housing, energy, medical care, school tuition, gold, and
other commodities skyrockets.
The Treasury department parrots the Fed line that consumer prices, as measured
by the consumer price index (CPI), are under control. But even many
mainstream economists now admit that CPI grossly understates true inflation. The
most glaring problem is that CPI excludes housing prices, instead tracking
rents. Everyone knows the cost of purchasing a home has increased dramatically
in the last ten years; in many regions housing prices have more than doubled
in just five years. So price inflation certainly is alive and well when
to comes to the largest purchase most Americans make.
When the Federal Reserve increases the supply of dollars in circulation, both
paper and electronic, prices must rise eventually. What other result
it possible? The supply of dollars has risen much faster than the supply
of goods and services being chased by those dollars. Fed policy makers
have more than doubled the money supply in less than ten years. While
Treasury printing presses can print unlimited dollars, there are natural limits
to economic growth. This flood of newly minted US currency can only
increase consumer prices in the long term.
Mr. Bernanke has stated quite candidly that he will use government printing
presses to stimulate the economy as necessary. He is famous for joking
that he would endorse dropping money from helicopters if needed to prevent
an economic slowdown. This is nothing short of an express policy to destroy
our money by inflation. Every new dollar erodes the value of existing
dollars based on simple supply and demand. Does anyone really believe
the Treasury can make us rich simply by printing more money?
The coming dollar crisis is not likely to be "fixed" by politicians
who are unwilling to make hard choices, admit mistakes, and spend less money. Demographic
trends will place even greater demands on Congress to maintain benefits for
millions of older Americans who are dependent on the federal government.
Faced with uncomfortable financial realities, Congress will seek to avoid
the day of reckoning by the most expedient means available-- and the Federal
Reserve undoubtedly will accommodate Washington by printing more dollars to
pay the bills. The Fed is the enabler for the spending addicts in Congress,
who would rather spend new fiat money than face the political consequences
of raising taxes or borrowing more abroad.
The irony is that many of the Fed's biggest cheerleaders are the same supposed
capitalists who denounced centralized economic planning when practiced by the
former Soviet Union. Large banks and Wall Street firms love the Fed's
easy money policy, because they profit at the front end from the resulting loan
boom and artificially high equity prices. It's the little guy who
loses when the inflated dollars finally trickle down to him and erode his buying
power. Someday Americans will understand that Federal Reserve bankers have
no magic ability -- and certainly no legal or moral right -- to decide how much
money should exist and what the cost of borrowing money should be.
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