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TWIST ON THE DOGS OF THE DOW THEORY. I call it the GREAT DANES OF THE DOW
based on those dogs that are just too big because they have the most shares
outstanding. Those with the most shares outstanding in the DOW 30 have underperformed
in 2006 while those with the fewest shares outstanding (POODLES) have outperformed.
It does confirm however, that demand and supply still matter. I have not back
tested it further than 2006 and I have yet to test it on the S&P 500. Here
however are the results. Notice as well that the top 6 components represent
48% of the total shares outstanding of the DOW 30 while the bottom 6 components
represent 4.8% of the total shares outstanding of the DOW 30. I showed you
yesterday that total shares outstanding in the DOW 30 are more than 92 billion,
not including share options et al. (not including dividends).
 |
| Top 6 DOW components by shares out. (Rounded) |
Stock Price
Dec. 30th, 2005 |
Stock Price
July 6th, 2006 |
YTD
Performance |
 |
| GE |
10,400,000,000.00 |
35.05 |
33.50 |
-4.42% |
| Microsoft |
10,200,000,000.00 |
26.15 |
23.50 |
-10.13% |
| Pfizer |
7,030,000,000.00 |
23.32 |
23.75 |
1.84% |
| Exxon |
6,050,000,000.00 |
56.17 |
63.50 |
13.05% |
| Intel |
5,820,000,000.00 |
24.96 |
18.90 |
-24.28% |
| Citigroup |
4,970,000,000.00 |
48.53 |
49.21 |
1.40% |
 |
| Average |
-3.76% |
 |
| |
 |
| Bottom 6 Dow Components by shares out. |
 |
| Alcoa |
870,000,000.00 |
29.57 |
33.50 |
13.29% |
| Honeywell |
830,000,000.00 |
37.25 |
39.80 |
6.85% |
| Boeing |
800,000,000.00 |
70.24 |
80.50 |
14.61% |
| MMM |
750,000,000.00 |
77.50 |
81.25 |
4.84% |
| Caterpillar |
670,000,000.00 |
47.77 |
73.50 |
53.86% |
| GM |
570,000,000.00 |
19.42 |
29.25 |
50.62% |
 |
| Average |
24.01% |
 |
Conclusion
Sell all stocks with more than 1 billion shares outstanding and only buy stocks
with under 1 billion shares outstanding.
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Adrian Burridge
CanadianInvestors.com
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