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November 09, 2006

Gold Market Update
by Clive Maund

Originally published November 8th, 2006

Gold has broken out of its large triangular consolidation to commence a new uptrend that should take it comfortably to new highs. The breakout is very obvious on weekly charts, which were included in the THIS IS IT article at the weekend. On the 1-year chart we can see this clear breakout and how the triangular consolidation, which, as is customary, brought the price back to the vicinity of the 200-day moving average, has completely unwound the overbought condition that had earlier existed. With the MACD indicator having risen up through the zero line, we are now in position for the advance to really get underway, although the fact that the 50-day m.a. is still below the 200-day means that we should expect brief periods of consolidation until it has risen up through it, when the advance can be expected to accelerate. It is worth noting here that although gold has broken out of the triangle, there is considerable resistance in this general area, so progress may at first be hesitant and punctuated by reactions, such as that occurring today. The minimum target for the advance is the $760 area.

In the unlikely event that the pattern aborts and gold breaks down, the point at which a general sell signal would be generated would be a break below the apex or nose of the triangle, i.e. a break below $580.

Clive Maund,
CliveMaund.com

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maunds opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.

Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications.

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