Safe Haven | Preservation of Capital
"No warning can save a people determined
to grow suddenly rich." - Lord Overstone
HOME ARCHIVES FORUMS SEARCH SITE MAP ABOUT US
Home -> Archives -> Mike Paulenoff -> More Selling pressure Ahead Next Week
Printer FriendlyPrinter Friendly eMail ArticleeMail Article

July 20, 2007

More Selling pressure Ahead Next Week
by Mike Paulenoff

With just an hour remaining in the session on Friday, I told subscribers to our Web site I was doubtful about the correction having ended, as I noticed the following:

Financial powerhouse Goldman Sachs (GS) remained down about 2.5% for the session, and more importantly, below its 200 DMA (208.31)...

Google (GOOG ) was still down 5% for the session, having bounced off of its 50 DMA (510.81) in the morning.

Spot gold was up about $18 since last Friday's close-- and was now trading 90% up the range for this week.

The iShares Lehman Brothers 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) were holding in the upper 80% of the today's breakout advance.

The dollar was down a lot against the yen, and just off its (extrapolated) 12 year lows vs. the euro.

As it turned out, the early afternoon rally indeed had no legs. Instead of a rip-roaring, upside reversal finish, the major equity market ETF's, GS, et al, slipped a bit back towards the lower end of today's range, and the faded out completely, leaving me with the distinct sense that there is more selling pressure ahead early next week.

And not just in the U.S. markets. The iShares Canada ETF (EWC) on Friday registered a reversal off of new all-time highs. My near- and intermediate-term work is warning me that Friday's high, and downside reversal, could very well signal the end of the most recent upleg from the June 27 low at 28.81, but also the larger upleg off of the January low at 23.53.

Although the EWC exhibits a very powerful uptrend, the pattern, oscillator position and technical evidence that the Canadian dollar has peak against the U.S. dollar all strong suggest that we should expect a meaningful correction in the EWC bull market.

My first target is in the vicinity of 30.00.

 


Mike Paulenoff
MPTrader.com

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis on equity markets, futures, metals, currencies and Treasuries.

Sign up for a free 15-day trial to Mikes ETF Trading Diary today.

Copyright © 2007-2008 Mike Paulenoff

Image rendition and html coding Copyright © 2000-2008 SafeHaven.com

« BullionVault.com -- Buy gold online - quickly, safely and at low prices »

« Opinions expressed at SafeHaven are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SafeHaven or its management. Articles are available via RSS/XML. Please visit RSSHelp for instructions. »

 
 
Top of Page
Read ourDISCLAIMER
HOME | ARCHIVES | FORUMS | SEARCH | SITE MAP
ABOUT US | LINKS | CONTACT US
Copyright © 2000-2008 - SAFEHAVEN.com
ColdFusion by COSTAS PILIOTIS
Server Admin by DIGITAL ADMIN
SafeHaven Web Site FEEDS
Get RSS Feeds