Things have changed since Bernanke took office and M3 was discontinued. This
put blinders on what the Fed was doing relative to Liquidity Injections.
Our Long Term Liquidity measurement is the closest we can get to seeing what
Liquidity levels are and when they shift.
Below is our daily chart posted on our paid subscriber sites. When Liquidity
decelerates, the market pulls back, and if it goes into Contraction, the market
has a prolonged Correction.
Bernanke is closely attuned to the market and how much liquidity needs to
be in the system for the market to be supported.
Take a look at this past March. Liquidity was allowed to go all the way down
to Neutral and magically, its was halted and reversed back up on liquidity
injections. Now look at the current down move ... Liquidity dropped all the
way down to Neutral and it magically halted again. If Liquidity is now pumped
back up like the last time, the market will find its bottom here and move back
up.
It is also interesting that the New York Stock Exchange (NYA) has moved down
to a critical support line. Yesterday, that support was held and Liquidity
came in very strong at the end of the day. Liquidity is something every investor
should keep an eye on with Bernanke being in charge.
