"One of the things that is keeping the stock market alive is the same reason
why China is trying to shore up its banks; to address the ugly fact that
inflation in China has risen to 4.4%...above the government's '3% target'"
With all the losses in mortgage securities, I guess it is surprising that
Required Reserves in the banks are still hovering at the same measly $41 billion
in Total Reserves that the banks have been reporting since 1999. In short,
reported Bank Reserves have not increased by so much as a thin dime in eight
years of rampant additions to the levels of deposits, levels of loans, levels
of debt, and levels of the money supply created by the banks, mostly because
they found that they can get away with it simply because nobody ever tried
to stop them!
And you can "get away" with a lot of crazy stuff if the same kind of crap
is endemic to the entire regulatory side of the government, as it apparently
is, as I gather from Junior Mogambo Ranger (JMR) John H., who said, "This gem
was in the New York Post Online this morning in an article titled 'Credit Crisis
Kills Two More Mortgage Bigs'".
It turns out that the Securities and Exchange Commission, having turned a
blind eye to everything all these years like everybody else, now has degenerated
to the point where SEC chief Chris Cox is saying, "the SEC is coming up with
new, more flexible accounting rule interpretations that companies and others
could use to avoid declaring their mortgage securities in default." Hahahaha!
What a surprising, astonishing
admission of corrupt, lying fraud!
JMR John, apparently as flabbergasted as I am about this startling admission
from the SEC, opines, "Let's see if I'm gettin' this straight... Just because
it's worthless doesn't mean that we've got to list it on our books that way
- Wowie !!!!! Even five exclamation points don't do this justice."
Maybe all of this stuff has something to do with perceived shocks of odometer-like
things rolling over, such as the holdings of U.S. and agency debt held by foreign
central banks and stored at the Fed, which have now topped the historic $2
trillion mark. Written out to the penny, that's $2,000,000,000,000.00.
Another upcoming odometer rollover will be when the national debt rolls up
to over $9 trillion, as from the AP we learn that "Treasury Secretary Henry
Paulson on Monday said the United States may be unable to pay its bills this
fall unless Congress raises the government's borrowing authority, now capped
at $8.965 trillion", and currently sitting at about $8.950 trillion. Getting
close!
And government spending ain't slowing down either, as, "Separately, the government
expects to borrow $73 billion in the July-to-September quarter, which would
be more than previously forecast, the Treasury Department said. The new estimate
is $31 billion higher than a projection made in April", which is, in turn,
a zillion dollars higher than the official federal budget, all of which is
rapidly taking us closer and closer to the horror of the federal government
spending a whopping $4 trillion a year!
But I guess they have to spend it, as Addison Wiggin, of the terrific 5-Minute
Forecast at DailyReckoning.com, calmly reports with a remarkably calm
demeanor that "We've already heaped a monumental list on Beltway bureaucrats'
shoulders: Free health care, free drugs, full employment, free education,
safe airports, safe water, safe rap lyrics, cheap mortgages, trips to the
moon, bridges to nowhere, smoke-free bars, trans fat-free french fries, a
secure retirement, national highways (with no bumps), stocks that only go
up, cheap gas, cheap electricity, ethanol, easy money, low interest rates...
not to mention a comprehensive solution to global warming and total victory
in the wars on terror, drugs, poverty and Christmas." Hahaha! Well put! The
fiscal problem in a nutshell!
-- One of the things that is keeping the stock market alive is the same reason
why China is trying to shore up its banks; to address the ugly fact that inflation
in China has risen to 4.4%, which is therefore theoretically above the government's "3%
target", but the interest rate paid on bank deposits is less than that, and
that's BEFORE the government levies a tax on the "gain"!
This crappy real (inflation-adjusted) negative return has made Chinese people
say, "Hey! I'm really getting hosed here, what with that 'loss of buying power'
thing, and I'm pretty cheesed off, just like The Mogambo said I would be!"
Now, I don't speak Chinese, but I imagine it sounds something like "How chow
hoy nah Mogambo idiot choy me wong soy sauce big screw job!" Notice how even
with the language barrier, you can get the drift! It's that serious!
So, desperate to stop losing buying power, Chinese depositors are forced by
necessity to put their money into riskier investments, and these trapped people
have now helped drive their stock market "to levels that many analysts consider
extremely high."
And of course a lot of this money bled into other stock and bond markets around
the world after just a few iterations of the international market system, driving
them "to levels that many analysts consider extremely high", too.
Now, in tepid response, the Chinese authorities not only boosted the interest
rate payable on deposits, but also slashed the tax payable on the interest
income. This results in a double boost that nets depositors to just over (insert
comically inept trumpet fanfare) 3%! Hahaha! Still losing money against 4.4%
price inflation, but not as fast!
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