With the demise of 2007, investors are looking to a new year and new opportunities.
Some investors continue to hope collapse of housing and financial sectors will
suddenly be reversed. Market strategists have called how many bottoms in housing
sector? Which U.S. financial giant will be next to sell out to a foreign investor?
Bubbles, or market sectors, do not reinflate, or reemerge. As shrewd investors
move on to next stock market leadership, Agri-Food sector will be an obvious
play. Growth fundamentals for Agri-Foods are apparent from investment returns
being generated. Just plain U.S. dirt, like that which grows soybeans, has
produced a ten year return of almost 9% versus a paltry 5% for U.S. equities.
In Argentina, farmland values have risen by 50%. So, how is your C, FNM, and
CFC doing?

This week's chart portrays the price performance of Agri-Food base commodities
versus U.S. equities. Fundamental strength of the Agri-Food industry is demonstrated
by these results. Participants and companies involved in Agri-Foods, around
the globe, are benefiting from new reality of growing demand and inelastic
supply. While grain prices may be less robust in 2008, new paradigm in Agri-Foods
can not be ignored. It is a structural investment opportunity. So, turn
the sound off when the cable media starts talking about the drivel known as
today's economic data release or whether some withering financial stock will
recover. Spend your time researching the bull cycle in Agri-Foods, the investment
theme for the next decade.
AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS are from Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS, publisher
of Agri-Food Value View, a monthly exploration of the Agri-Food grand
cycle being created by China, India, and Eco-energy. To review a recent issue
write to agrifoodvalueview@earthlink.net.
We have also released U.S. Agricultural Land As A Portfolio Consideration
- 2007. This report is a critical analysis of the returns on U.S.
agricultural land versus U.S. equities. It concludes that the investors
would be wise to replace equities with an investment in U.S. agricultural
land. This analysis is largely statistical in nature, and designed for
the sophisticated investor. Order it at http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order-AgLand2007.