"So, if inflation in prices is not caused by a depreciating dollar or monetary
policy, then Mr. Central Bank Governor Sultan Bin Nasser al-Suwaidi better
find out what in the hell is causing it, and pronto!"
For a real surprise, Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital writes, "Today on
CNBC, Mark Zandi, the highly-respected chief economist of Moody's Economy.com,
proclaimed that the falling
dollar 'has nothing to do with inflation'," which Mr. Schiff apparently
deems, as do all thinking, rational people, to be an "asinine statement", since "a
weak dollar is the very essence of inflation."
Here is where I demonstrate the advantage of having a reputation as a vengeful
lunatic; originally, Mr. Schiff was going to write, "this is so asinine as
to be on a par with The Mogambo being nominated for 'Father of the Year!'"
Fortunately, he is such a gentleman that just calling him up on the phone
and politely letting him know how displeased I was by cocking a pump 12-gauge
shotgun in his ear was enough that he changed the phrase to being asinine, "on
a par with the 'permanent plateau' comment uttered by Irving Fisher on the
eve of the 1929 stock market crash."
Satisfied, I am happy that he continues, "Along those lines, Wall Street continues
to buy into government propaganda designed to confuse the public about the
true cause of inflation. They dismiss rising prices as resulting from economic
growth and then minimize the impact by relying on bogus CPI statistics."
Then he exposes the true ugliness of the damned Federal Reserve creating all
this bogus "growth" that is merely the effect of inflation by saying, "This
completely misses the point that legitimate economic growth causes prices to
fall and not to rise. True economic growth comes from increased production,
which lowers consumer prices by increasing supply, particularly for basic necessities
such as food."
Unfortunately, "The reality is that despite some genuine economic growth
abroad, governments are creating so much inflation that food prices are rising
anyway."
But this "the dollar is irrelevant" idiocy is everywhere, as on Bloomberg.com
we find that "The United Arab Emirates will keep the dirham's 30-year link
to the dollar after completing a review of its currency regime, said central
bank Governor Sultan Bin Nasser al-Suwaidi."
This guy actually said, "In 12 months I can say to you that the U.A.E. will
maintain the peg", and that he and his little buddies, "have come to the conclusion
that the inflation problem does not lie with the peg against the U.S. dollar" because
they have been "studying the causes of inflation and we came to the conclusion
that the causes are not in the dirham/U.S. dollar peg, therefore we need not
do anything on that front.'"
Why are they saying such weird things? Barbara Nestor, an economist at Commerzbank
AG in London, says that, "They are trying to avoid depreciating further the
dollar, and therefore their dollar assets."
Nevertheless, Bloomberg notes, with a hint of sarcasm, that, "U.A.E. inflation
accelerated to a record 9.8 percent last year from 9.3 percent in 2006 as the
dollar's declines pushed up import prices, according to the median forecast
of seven economists surveyed by Bloomberg."
So, if inflation in prices is not caused by a depreciating dollar or monetary
policy, then Mr. Central Bank Governor Sultan Bin Nasser al-Suwaidi better
find out what in the hell is causing it, and pronto!
Or they could buy
gold! In fact, this fits in perfectly with my latest conspiracy theory;
the United States Treasury says that it has 261.5 million ounces of gold.
If the dollar falls enough so that gold sells for $30,000 per ounce, the
M2 money supply would be fully "gold backed" to the tune of $7.845 trillion!
As for NOT having your money be gold and silver like the Constitution demands,
it reminds me of Jenny Thompson of Health Sciences Institute of Baltimore saying, "As
much as we might want to believe in them, you and I both know that diets are
like Santa Claus. For a while, you put all your faith in them, but in the end,
you learn the truth: It just doesn't work that way."
Excellent! Not having any creativity myself, naturally I have to resort to
stealing ideas from others, and here is a perfect example of my prey. (And
in case you were wondering, no, you cannot get a highly-desirable Handicapped
Parking Permit just because you are "creativity-impaired", and thus you are
again unfairly denied access to all those luscious parking spots right up front,
everywhere you go, even after you patiently explain to them how stupid they
are for denying your application).
So I was going to take Ms. Thompson's witticism and twist it around to, "As
much as the stupid Federal Reserve and the stupid American people want to believe,
you and I know that creating so much excess money and credit is like believing
in Santa Claus. For awhile, you put all your faith in it, but in the end, you
learn the truth: It just doesn't work that way, and Santa is never going to
bring you that Harley chopper that you have been asking for since you were
16 years old, and in that selfsame way of wanting something for nothing and
paying for it with a fiat currency whipped up out of thin air, you wind up
with a grotesquely distorted economy that is bizarrely and solely dependent
on massive government spending, with inflation in prices spiraling out of control,
a falling currency and a collapsing economy, just like Mises, the whole Austrian
Business Cycle Theory, and everybody at Mises.org have long, long, looooooooooonnnnnnnnnnng
predicted, although not as loud and incoherently as when The Mogambo is earnestly
educating the neighbors about the destructive inflation of allowing the Federal
Reserve to create so much money and credit by screaming at them and hurling
insults at them, too." Ugh.
Mogambo sez: It's pretty astonishing how gold has risen to a new, all-time
nominal high, but the sense of urgency it implies is missing from the news
media, when if they were REALLY news reporters, they would be finding out the
truth about gold and why it is rising, and then they would be in here with
me, hunkered in the bunker, finger on the trigger, scared out of their freaking
minds.
P.S. To get The Daily Reckoning sent directly to your
inbox, sign up for our
free email newsletter, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the Daily
Reckoning RSS feed.