If you think of logically ... when money flows into the market, stocks are
being bought. When the amount of Inflowing Liquidity is in Expansion,
then more and more investors are entering the market ... and that drives prices
up.
However, when Liquidity is out-flowing, it is a condition where investors
are removing their capital from the market. That means the impetus is on selling,
and the market pulls back. When out-flowing Liquidity deteriorates to the point
where the net liquidity is in Contraction, then the market experiences a correction.
Liquidity levels and its directional momentum are a key factor relative
to market trending. You cannot have the market in a rally mode when Liquidity
is leaving the market ... and, you cannot have the market in a correction when
Liquidity is entering the market and at an Expansion level.
What does a historical Liquidity chart tell us about the market during the
past 2 years?
Today's chart goes back to April of 2006. On the top graph, you can see the
change in Liquidity levels during that time period relative to the New York
Stock Exchange.
Notice what happened to Liquidity levels since October of last year.
Inflowing Liquidity peaked in early October. Pay attention to each peak AFTER
October's peak. What do you noticed that happened to those peaks?
Answer: They all made lower tops. Lower tops and lower bottoms is essentially
the definition of a down trend. With Inflowing Liquidity in a down trend, the
market indexes had to follow the same direction.
When was the most recent time that Inflowing Liquidity went so low that it
was in Contraction?
If you look at the chart, you can see that Liquidity went into Contraction
at the very beginning of January. With Liquidity in Contraction, the market
had its most serious drop of the past two years.
So, what is happening to Liquidity levels now?
Currently, Liquidity is still in Contraction and in a down trend. We just
had a recent lower top that is now moving down again. The critical thing to
watch now is what happens ... will Liquidity make a lower bottom, or will it
hold here and move up and make a higher top? If the latter doesn't happen,
then this correction will continue until Liquidity inflows increase and move
into Expansion territory.
(This chart is posted every day on our paid subscriber sites.)

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