Corrections are a friend of investors. Same is true for professional traders.
Traders on Main Street enjoy them less. Learn to take advantage of them, rather
than be buffeted by them. Investors should be anticipating any possible correction
in their favorite industries in order to make timely purchases. Currently,
for example, the Agri-Food sector may be developing one of the first good corrections
in some time. Cash prices for many Agri-Food commodities have retreated. This
situation is reflected in this week's chart. Plotted with red circles is a
simple stochastic oscillator on our Base Food Index. That index is comprised
of the cash prices of 13 major Agri-Food commodities. The straight red lines
are mean value of oscillator plus or minus the standard deviation. Most recent
reading is well below the statistical relation that has existed for some time.
A correction in Agri-Food price could be developing, and it may last for several
weeks. This period should be used for investors to begin or add to positions
in Agri-Food investments.

Agri-Food prices have been strong for some time as needs of China, India,
and others have grown. Today, China is driving force on demand for Agri-Foods.
These markets are now global in nature more so than ever before. Vegetable
oil, for example, is one of those foods feeling the pressure of rising needs
in China. According to Commodity News for Tomorrow, Chinese production
of edible oils will rise slightly in 2008, but still cause them to increase
imports by 14%. Chinese government will have little choice but to bid aggressively
in global markets and raise domestic prices. Producers of palm oil(world's
largest edible oil), soybeans, corn and canola will all benefit from the growing
short supply situation in edible oils. Perhaps the time has arrived for forward
looking investors to do their research on the beneficiaries of the globally
short supply situation in Agri-Foods.
AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS are from Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS,
publisher of Agri-Food Value View, a monthly exploration of the Agri-Food
grand cycle being created by China, India, and Eco-energy. To review a recent
issue, write to agrifoodvalueview@earthlink.net.