While gold has again surged on safe haven buying overnight (and is up since
20% since the financial and economic crisis deepened), there is increasing
surprise that gold has not surged to its recent record highs especially as
there are deepening shortages of retail bullion internationally and the gold
holdings of gold ETFs continue to surge.
The election is just 4 weeks away and we are likely to see gold surge soon
after. The fundamentals, particularly of supply and demand, are looking extremely
good and prices are set to surge in the coming months.
There are likely to be huge daily and weekly up moves in the gold market and
a price surge akin to that seen in the late 1970s. In the four years after
the election of Jimmy Carter, gold surged by more than 700% (from near $100/oz
to over $850/oz) and given the confluence of even more bullish factors in this
election year, we are likely to see a similar price surge in the coming months.
Gold may not have surged as much as some had expected in recent weeks due
to massive liquidation in other all markets because of leveraged losses and
a flight to cash. This is particularly the case with hedge funds and other
traders and speculators with short term horizons.
But gold increasingly resembles a submerged beach ball - a submerged beach
ball can only be pushed only so far under water prior to leaping out of the
water and this is what will happen to gold prices in the coming weeks when
the extremely bullish supply/demand fundamentals eventually kick in.
Premiums continue to surge on a daily basis on bullion coins and bars making
the COMEX price less relevant all the time. There is the unprecedented situation
whereby some large bullion dealers in the UK, Europe and the US have been cleared
out of absolutely all of their bullion stocks of small coins and bars and also
larger bars. Some wholesalers have also been cleared out and one of the largest
wholesalers, who have limited supplies, are being forced to ration supply of
coins and bars to their favoured customers.
We have had a manic week with staff drafted in from other divisions and working
late into the evenings to clear the backlog of orders. We had the same volume
of sales in the last week that we did in all of September which was a record
month. Luckily we have been able to source some of our bullion requirements
in mainland Europe but things are becoming increasingly tight there as well.
Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments
Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator
as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is
39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office
under Company number 377252. Registered for VAT under number 6397252A. Codes
of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at www.financialregulator.ie or
from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland.
Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial
Regulator.
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its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the
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Gold Investments
Tower 42, Level 7
25 Old Broad Street
London
EC2N 1HN
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708
Email info@goldassets.co.uk
Web www.goldassets.co.uk
Mission Statement
Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important
financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and
prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy
and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We
focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how
they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings,
investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security
as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.
Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded
the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.