What Commodity Is About To Explode Next: Gold, Silver, Oil Or Nat Gas?

By: Chris Vermeulen | Mon, Jun 8, 2009
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Commodities have been driving up the past few months and now it looks like Natural Gas is going to be joining the party. This report quickly and clearly shows Gold, Silver, Oil, and Natural Gas from a technical trading point of view.

Gold Bullion - GLD Exchange Traded Fund - Daily Chart

As you can see, gold broke to the upside of this large bull flag/ABC retrace wave pattern back in May. This posted us a sold 7% gain last week. I have a feeling we are going to see prices test lower or consolidate sideways for a couple weeks. We will continue to hold a core position with an exit price set at my support trend line, which is slowly moving higher each day to lock in more profits.

Silver Bullion - SLV Exchange Traded Fund - Daily Chart

Silver has provided the same opportunity but has not yet broken my support trend line. If we get a trend line break, I expect to see prices drop quickly. I suggest placing a stop just below the support trend line level to lock in some gains at the $14.75 area. With any luck we can buy back some silver at a cheaper price in the near future.

Crude Oil - USO Fund - Weekly Chart

Weekly charts provide powerful trading signals and I like to use this time frame for identifying possible trend changes. Oil made a reversal back in March and has been performing very well. At the current price, it is starting to look overbought and I expect a pullback of some type soon. I have provided a short term profit taking trend line, which would be the point to lock in some gains on energy trades.

Natural Gas - UNG Fund - Weekly Chart

As you can see Natural Gas looks to be starting a reversal at this price level. Volume is surging higher, MACD is moving higher and we could get trend line break soon,which will provide us with an intermediate buy signal. I will continue to watch Natural Gas until I have a low risk entry point to buy. I think we are still 2-4 weeks away from a possible buy signal.

The Precious Metal, Oil & Nat Gas Trading Conclusion:

Gold and silver are starting to move lower. This week will be interesting, as prices unfold. Because gold stocks are underperforming the price of gold bullion, I am leaning towards lower prices in the near term.

Crude oil continues to push to new multi month highs. Moving stops/exit points up in the energy sector is a wise decision for short term traders. So far it's been a great run.

I recommend locking in gains after a solid move higher. Too many times, the market will reverse and wipe out most of the unrealized profits in a few bad sessions. You can always add to the position again on a pullback, with a low risk entry point, or put that money to work in a new setup possibly Natural Gas.

If you would like to receive my Free Weekly Trading Reports or my Real-Time Trading Signals please visit my website: www.GoldAndoilGuy.com.

 


 

Chris Vermeulen

Author: Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen
President of AlgoTrades Systems
www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

10126 Hwy 126 East, RR#2
Collingwood, ON, L9Y 3Z1

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen, founder of AlgoTrades Systems., is an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader. Involved in the markets since 1997.

Chris' mission is to help his clients boost their investment performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

Chris is also the founder of TheGoldAndOilGuy.com, a financial education and investment newsletter service. Chris is responsible for market research and trade alerts for of its newsletter publication.

Through years of research, trading and helping thousands of individual investors around the world. He designed an automated algorithmic trading system for the S&P 500 index which solves his client's biggest problem related to investing in the stock market: the ability to profit in both a rising and falling market.

AlgoTrades' automated trading systems allows individuals to investing using either exchange traded funds or the ES mini futures contracts. It is supported by many leading brokerage firms including:

- Interactive Brokers
- Trade MONSTER
- MB Trading
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- The Fox Group
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He is the author of the popular book "Technical Trading Mastery - 7 Steps To Win With Logic." He has also been featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, Futures Magazine, Gold-Eagle, Safe Haven,The Street, Kitco, Financial Sense, Dick Davis Investment Digest and dozens of other financial websites. His list of personal and professional relationships approaches 25,000, people with whom he connects and shares is market insight with out of his passion for trading.

Chris is a graduate of Seneca College where he specialized in business operations management.

Chris enjoys boating, kiteboarding, mountain biking, fishing and has his ultralight pilots license. He resides in the Toronto area with his wife Kristen and two children.

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