The Triple Time Frame Breakout in Gold and Nat Gas

By: Chris Vermeulen | Wed, Sep 30, 2009
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We have been waiting for gold to breakout above the 2008 high for almost 2 years. These charts show we are slowly working our way there.

Gold Stocks Index - The Leading Indicator for Gold Bullion

I watch the price of gold stocks very closely because when there is large divergence from the price action of gold bullion I can get in a trade before the general public does.

Tuesday we saw gold stocks put in a powerful rally yet gold bullion did not move much. This told me there was going to be some positive action Wednesday in gold and there was a very nice rally, indeed.

This monthly chart of gold stocks shows a monthly breakout which is exciting to see. Most rallies last between 3-6 months on a breakout like this. That being said we could still have another 1-3 months of sideways price action as gold bullion tries to clear out the over head supply.

Gold Bullion - Monthly Timing Chart

The gold chart clearly shows that we are near a major breakout. You can also see the similar price action before the last major breakout which is encouraging.

GLD Gold Bullion Trust - Weekly Timing Chart

Gold has broken out of is bullish pennant and now trying to break through the overhead resistance. So far the price action is strong but do not expect a breakout instantly. The market always has a way of dragging things out much longer than one may anticipate.

GLD Gold Bullion ETF - Daily Timing Chart

The daily chart clearly shows that if we continue to form a bull flag or some type of pennant formation it major breakout could takes weeks from here.

Natural Gas - Weekly Timing Chart

Several weeks' back I pointed out that Natural Gas was extremely over sold and at 10 year lows which was a good point to start scaling into a position. This high risk setup has paid off well for those following actively trading the over bought and over sold conditions with me.

We now have a breakout and are waiting for a low risk entry point to buy more natural gas.

Crude Oil - Weekly Timing Chart

Crude oil continues to trade within a set of bull wedges making it difficult to get a low risk setup. I trade over bought, over sold and trends, not sideways/trend less investments which USO has been in my eyes for a few months.

Soon enough it will flash a buy or sell signal for me and we will be active again with USO and other oil funds.

Weekly Market Timing Conclusion:

Overall our precious metal stocks and bullion trades are doing well. We continue to wait for a breakout, hopefully to the upside, but have protection stops in place to lock in gains if prices drop on us.

The energy sector has been tricky because oil is trend less and natural gas has gone straight up. Again my focus is on low risk, high probability trades and I don't chase or make trades when there is nothing to trade.

If you would like to receive my Free Weekly Trading Reports like this please visit my website: www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.

 


 

Chris Vermeulen

Author: Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen
President of AlgoTrades Systems
www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

10126 Hwy 126 East, RR#2
Collingwood, ON, L9Y 3Z1

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen, founder of AlgoTrades Systems., is an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader. Involved in the markets since 1997.

Chris' mission is to help his clients boost their investment performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

Chris is also the founder of TheGoldAndOilGuy.com, a financial education and investment newsletter service. Chris is responsible for market research and trade alerts for of its newsletter publication.

Through years of research, trading and helping thousands of individual investors around the world. He designed an automated algorithmic trading system for the S&P 500 index which solves his client's biggest problem related to investing in the stock market: the ability to profit in both a rising and falling market.

AlgoTrades' automated trading systems allows individuals to investing using either exchange traded funds or the ES mini futures contracts. It is supported by many leading brokerage firms including:

- Interactive Brokers
- Trade MONSTER
- MB Trading
- OEC OpenECry
- The Fox Group
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- Vision Financial

He is the author of the popular book "Technical Trading Mastery - 7 Steps To Win With Logic." He has also been featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, Futures Magazine, Gold-Eagle, Safe Haven,The Street, Kitco, Financial Sense, Dick Davis Investment Digest and dozens of other financial websites. His list of personal and professional relationships approaches 25,000, people with whom he connects and shares is market insight with out of his passion for trading.

Chris is a graduate of Seneca College where he specialized in business operations management.

Chris enjoys boating, kiteboarding, mountain biking, fishing and has his ultralight pilots license. He resides in the Toronto area with his wife Kristen and two children.

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