Investing Wisely -- Update with Recommendations and Personalized Follow-Up

By: Steve Bauer | Thu, Apr 8, 2010
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This Update is for specific Company Short Recommendations for your review and consideration.


As was said last Sunday: I expect to offer about 10 - 12 Recommendations in small Groups, perhaps 3 - 4 Securities over several or more days - somewhat tightly bunched.

There will be some Short positions in Companies and Long positions in (Inverse) ETFs.

It should be understood that there is a high likely-hood that other Sectors and Industry Groups will - Rotate - into favor for taking positions in the days following my initial Recommendations. In fairness to my Clients - I will not be offering Recommendation for those additional Securities for this anticipated -- General Market Pull-back.

Please - SCROLL DOWN to my -- Formal Recommendations -- and perhaps skip the following narrative.


For me, Investing Wisely simple boils down to two questions - What and When?

With the incredible quantity of chatter available on the Internet and with thousands of investments being touted as - worthy of your investment money - what is a serious Investor to do in times like this and beyond?

Clearly - Investment risk must be assessed carefully, therefore to take a long or a short position needs more than just good fundamentals or technical analysis that seems to make sense.

I read an enormous amount of material each day, most of which is good, however it is rare to find even a single specific recommendation or even generic recommendation such as gold, energy or technology. Excellent Analytics and Specific and Timely investment decisions are what makes you money, and I believe loading one's head with tons of details deters from that goal. Further, when I do find a recommendation or two, in my reading, there has never been an offer to tell me and others when to close out the recommended transaction without a fee!

* Stock Brokers want to sell you something but never call and say - it's time to sell. Hum!

* Mutual Funds keep you invested - rain or shine and love charging their annual fees, which are much higher than advertised. They say - "read the prospectus." Hum!

For over 50+ years I have continued to develop and sharpen my skills of -- Sector, Industry Group, Commodity, Company and ETF -- Rotation.

Rotation is Cycle Analytics and with this tool it is rather easy identifying the specific securities that are in favor and as a result from these studies, we also learn - what securities are not in favor. That's Important!

With all the advice that is offered, I find it difficult to cross-reference that constant flow of advice with anything tangible that says - this is a solid reason to own a given / specific security.

So over the coming months, I would like to share some specific Bull Market recommendations as well as Bear Market recommendations, but for you to make this work profitably for the long term, you must personally have / possess two very precious attributes.

Patience and Discipline.

In sharing this incredible Methodology of knowing whether the General Market, Sectors, Industry Groups, Commodities, Companies and ETFs - are worthy of your investment money - I have found that - all you need to know is -- if they (Securities) are - Going-To or Coming-From. This is what securities "Rotation" is all about. So, for example, from a Research / Analytics point of view - it's all about being able to identify - What (which ones) and When they (specific securities) change from Going-To to Coming From (that's identifying - Tops) and that - the Inflection Point - is accurate for that specific security at that specific time. (It's just the opposite for identifying - Bottoms).

Understand that, I believe, each security has it's own signature and it's rate and time table of change is different from most all other securities. And, each security often changes their signature just to snafu the analyst. That's why you, quite likely do not enjoy a high percentage of profitable transactions. This is to say - all the Companies / ETFs in a Sector or even an Industry Group do not move in unison, month after month and year after year. However there are those that do, allow you to clearly read their signature, and they can be readily identified long before decision day to invest.

Inflection Points - both Bull and Bear, within the General Market, only occur, on average, 3 - 5 times per year. When they occur, we often have a great deal of lead time for preparation and very little time to respond or implement. At these critical Inflection Points you simple do not have the time to dink around looking at your investment tools as a luxury or a form of procrastination. This is true on the Buying / Shorting side and also true on the Selling / Covering side.

This Methodology for Wise Investing, has preformed brilliantly for me, for many years and is anything but a "Trading" approach. It's repeatability is very consistent and accurate but does not occur on yours' or my time clock.

So, I invite your to take the time to follow along and you will be both amazed and profitable pleased.

From time to time and with the cooperation of Safe Haven, I will publish this (same) article with specific recommendations. If I have nothing to recommend, which is often - I will provide an Update about every two weeks.


Formal Recommendations:

My Current Recommendations for immediate action - Short - Company Positions - are:

Recommendation: SHT-040810-001

Companies:

AMD -- Advanced Micro Devices -- Approximate Current Price: $ 9.66

MHO -- M/I Homes, Inc. -- Approximate Current Price: $ 14.66

PBR -- Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. -- Approximate Current Price: $ 45.55

TIN -- Temple Inland, Inc. -- Approximate Current Price: $ 21.23

FBR -- Fibria Celulose S. A. -- Approximate Current Price: $ 21.66

My Current Recommendations for immediate action - Buy - (Inverse) ETF Positions - are:

ETFs:

None at this time

If you would like the Sale / Cover side to my specific Recommendations, Information about my Work, of me personally - just send me an Email and I will respond promptly.

Just click on my name for my Email Address.

Thank you for your interest in my work.

 


 

Steve Bauer

Author: Steve Bauer

Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

Steve Bauer

Steve has several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and doctorate and a great deal of (too much) continued education. For seven years, he did a stent as a University Professor of Finance and Economics.

Dr. Bauer also writes for SeekingAlpha.com. His articles can be viewed at: http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer?source=search_general&s=steven-bauer

He owned a privately held asset management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.

Professionally he is a financial analyst and private asset manager / consultant / mentor.

Steve can be reached at senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Copyright © 2010-2013 Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

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