China's Stock Market is Crashing

By: Robert McHugh | Sun, May 16, 2010
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Financial pundits everywhere are saying China is the future, China is where the action is, China will be the world's economic leader.

Well, hate to spoil the party, but China's stock market is crashing. If its stock market is crashing, and stock markets are leading indicators for economies, it means China is about to fall into a deep recession. Further, a huge Head & Shoulders top pattern we show below warns that if the SSEC drops below 1,750ish, China's SSEC could drop to zero, that an economic depression, economic calamity, is coming to China.

China's largest export partner is Europe, not America. With sovereign debt problems threatening the economy of Europe, with programs of spending austerity necessary and mandated, China's economy is about to take a huge hit. Europe's troubles are going to lower aggregate demand world-wide. Stock Index patterns are warning us about this coming threat.

The SSEC topped on August 4th, 2009 at 3,478.01. It fell to 2,604.19 this week, on May 12th. That is an 873 point, 25.1 percent crash in 9 months (We define a crash as a 15 percent decline, some people insist on a drop over 20 percent for a crash. This decline meets both standards). The SSEC was at 3,361.38 as recently as November 2009, and has since fallen 757 points, or 22.5 percent over the past 6 months. And so far in 2010, the SSEC has crashed 673 points from 3,277 on December 31st, 2009, or 20.5 percent.

Yet nobody is talking about this. A contagion of economic woes is starting, and will soon be manifest all across the globe. Gold sees this, and is becoming the safehaven currency for the wise, the world's reserve currency.

Shanghai Composite Index 18-Month Chart

Shanghai Composite Index 12-Year Weekly Chart

Shanghai Composite Index 12-Year Monthly Chart

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John 6: 35, 38, 40

 


 

Robert McHugh

Author: Robert McHugh

Robert D. McHugh, Jr. Ph.D.
Main Line Investors, Inc.

Robert McHugh

Robert McHugh Ph.D. is President and CEO of Main Line Investors, Inc., a registered investment advisor in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and can be reached at www.technicalindicatorindex.com. The statements, opinions and analyses presented in this newsletter are provided as a general information and education service only. Opinions, estimates and probabilities expressed herein constitute the judgment of the author as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. Nothing contained in this newsletter is intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice, nor is it to be relied upon in making any investment or other decision. Prior to making any investment decision, you are advised to consult with your broker, investment advisor or other appropriate tax or financial professional to determine the suitability of any investment. Neither Main Line Investors, Inc. nor Robert D. McHugh, Jr., Ph.D. Editor shall be responsible or have any liability for investment decisions based upon, or the results obtained from, the information provided.

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