Our indicator that is constructed from the trends in crude oil, gold, and
yields on the 10 year Treasury did NOT make it into the extreme zone last
week. This was due to some end of the week weakness in crude oil and Treasury
yields. Therefore, the strategy that
combines the 40 week moving average with this filter did NOT yield a sell
signal. The indicator is shown below.
Figure 1. S&P500/ weekly
Of note, I don't think these pressures are going to go away so easily. As
we start a new week, crude oil is already up nearly 3%.
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