The silver ETF normally trades 14 million shares per day (3-month average).
Today as of 3:00 pm ET, it has traded 114 million shares or 691% above its
average, which is very, very rare. We have been concerned about a rally
in the dollar and the possible negative
impact on silver and gold. While today's gains in the dollar are still
somewhat tepid from a conviction standpoint, the greenback is still up for
the 3rd day in a row. As of 3 pm ET, SLV is off 5% from its intraday high.
It is possible we are seeing what is known as a "blow-off" top in SLV today.
If SLV finishes the day in the red, which may not happen given silver's incredible
strength, then it may be a sign of a short-term reversal. We have to see how
SLV closes before we can read too much into it.
Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco
Capital Management, LLC. More on the web at www.ciovaccocapital.com.
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