While North And South Korea Exchange Artillery, China and Russia Fire A Warning Shot Against The Bernanke Bow
When time permits I like to relax with a good mystery story. One of my favorite masters of the genre is Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, creator of Shirlock Holmes. A few days ago a story appeared on the front page of China Daily on 11-23-10, that is worthy in emulating the masters great classic: "The Dog That Did Not Bark."
He might have entitled today's story, "The Gold Trade That Did Not Rise." The photo reveals the Premier of China Jaibao and Russia's Putin exchanging firm handshakes and smiling broad cheshire grins.
The article reads, "China and Russia have decided to renounce the U.S. Dollar and resort to using their own currencies for bilateral trade...since the financial crisis however, we began to explore other possibilities...The Yuan has now started trading against the Russian Ruble in the Chinese market while The Renminbi will be allowed to trade against the Ruble in Russia...This follows a global trend after the financial crisis exposed faults of the dollar denominated world financial system...it is aimed at the risks the dollar represents."
A mystery arises in not why the Russo-Sino action was a front page feature on an international newspaper, but why the price of gold dropped instead of rising in the face of a discredited dollar.
For the past few weeks, I have been calling for a rise in the dollar to give my readers a better reentry point for my stock selections.
I feel that some possible clues to this enigmatic action may be that the two leaders fired a warning shot across the Bernanke bow. It was not to decimate dollars of which the Chinese hold major amounts. The message from Russia and China is a warning signal to the U.S. to be careful of further debt monetizations. Moreover, there have been widely disseminated reports of dissension within the Chairman's own team on his persistent weak dollar policies and the possible long term negative side effects. We see that the banking system within PIIGS nations are up against the ropes and many countries are adopting austerity measures rather than receiving bailouts. The warning from Russia and China to the U.S. is clear. Further quantitative easing will be met with swift economic actions. Other measures to support an economy must be utilized rather than debasing a currency.
In conclusion, make sure that you are wearing solid technical parachutes. I am closely observing this extended trendline on the gold chart, which should act as resistance to the upside as the previous support trendline now acts as resistance. I am expecting a reversal and break of $1340 to confirm the negative divergences between price and momentum and change of intermediate term trend.
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Author: Jeb Handwerger
Jeb Handwerger
http://goldstocktrades.com
I started reading charts at eleven years old. One day my father, a market trader and technician found his library of books on technical analysis mysteriously disappearing. He later found the textbooks under my bed. For many years day and night I studied technical analysis and charting, working and learning from my father who has over 50 years of trading experience. Technical analysis is my passion and love.
In 2001, I started noticing the junior mining stocks and gold as having a tremendous upside. For the past 9 years I have researched many juniors and have identified the major winners using technical analysis and finding top management.
I earned a Bachelors Degree in Mathematics and a Masters Degree. I learned most of my technical analysis from the school of hard knocks, managing real money for myself and for my family.
Constantly perfecting my craft, I have traded for two decades of success in many different markets. I have been asked to post ideas to some of my students who have taken my course in charting and technical analysis. I have made an excellent living trading stocks for myself.
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