The Unseen Force in the Market ...

By: Marty Chenard | Fri, Dec 17, 2010
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Sometimes, something is worth repeating ... like this questions from investors:

"Why is it that "negative divergences" aren't triggering, which is rendering various investing models powerless as the market runs over them?"

For years, analyst and market traders have been carefully watching for divergences as a clue to when a trend reversal was going to occur. Many professional investors base their buy/sell strategies on negative and positive divergences. From a technical perspective, many investors used to anticipate break-downs in market support structures when negative divergences started to appear.

To the dismay of these investors, there have been a plethora of negative divergences during the past month ... but, they have just been sitting there dormant ... as the market continued up.

We discussed this topic last week, and it is important enough to readdress it today.

So, what is going on?

The answer is that there is another force in the market that has been overpowering negative divergences. In fact, negative divergences have no power until after this force starts to contract.

What is it?

It is the "net amount of inflowing Liquidity" coming into the market every day. "Net amount of Liquidity" is the amount of Liquidity coming in or leaving the market after all the selling has been absorbed ... or not absorbed.

Since September, the net inflowing Liquidity has been in Expansion territory and in an up trend. Inflowing Liquidity is the unseen force in the market that confounds many, and subverts the power of negative divergences as well as many commonly used technical indicators.

It isn't until Liquidity levels pull back in the face of lingering negative divergences, that a market pull back or correction finally occurs. When inflowing Liquidity is in Expansion territory and at a high rate of expansion, the market continues to move up in spite of any negative divergences.

Today's chart is posted everyday in Section 4, charts 8-1 and 8-2 of our paid subscriber site. In respect and fairness to them, this chart will not be posted again for at least another month.

NYA - New York Stock Exchange

 


 

Marty Chenard

Author: Marty Chenard

Marty Chenard
StockTiming.com
Asheville, NC 28805
Tel: 828-296-1200

Marty Chenard is an Advanced Stock Market Technical Analyst that has developed his own proprietary analytical tools and stock market models. As a result, he was out of the market two weeks before the 1987 Crash in the most recent Bear Market he faxed his Members in March 2000 telling them all to SELL. He is an advanced technical analyst and not an investment advisor, nor a securities broker.

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