Investing Wisely -- Update with Recommendations and Personalized Follow-Up

By: Steve Bauer | Sun, Mar 27, 2011
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Update & Recommendations:

In my previous Update, a couple of weeks ago, I suggested that the market place would pull back. That happened! However, I am sad because of the reasons. The news of the Mid-East, Oil Prices and the Japan disaster is not my way of wanting to profit from the stock market.

As an asset manager, I will not and do not react to "news", and therefore, I passed on that possible General Market Bearish Inflection Point. I was correct in this decision and the marketplace has since rallied and is approaching the previous highs. However, it seems to be stumbling.

The Market is at a critical juncture. The question is - will it move to new highs ("Break-out") or begin a more meaningful pull back? The answer is both. A small number of my "Bellwether" and "High Profile" companies have already made new highs but many are lagging. This is quite typical for grinding out a General Market Bearish Inflection Point.

My best Mini-Forecast for the coming week and perhaps a little beyond is that a near-term top is in the making. That could very well produce the General Market Bearish Inflection Point that we all have been waiting for.

I continue to be a strong Bear and there are many confirming fundamental, technical and consensus factors that tangible support this thinking / recommendation. In a recent Email to Followers, I received some disagreement to my comment that the marketplace looks a lot like the summer and fall of 2007. Apparently, I did not make clear that I am never just looking at the charts. Technical analysis is only 35% of my weighting of my methodology. Fundamentals (40%) and Consensus (25%) make up the balance.

The imminent General Market Bearish Inflection Point I have been forecasting continues to be delayed, (this time it was "News" delayed). However, it now looks (again) - very possible for next week or perhaps the following.

If I have your Email address, I will be sending you notification.

(Repeating) The general market is currently over-valued, over-bought and is showing very serious signs of deteriorations, especially in the area of breadth. Interest rates are on the rise, and inflation is already a grave problem. This means that you must consider holding cash or perhaps taking bearish positions.

I sincerely hope you maintaining your necessary - patience and discipline. Few will be able to make it through this "rare" time period in the history of the stock market and be profitable.

I also invite you to follow my - Personal / Private Blog. It is boring but accurate and profitable!


Something to Ponder:

I invite you to begin reviewing my Freshman year's - Course of Study of the Dow Jones 30 Industrial component companies. Each week I will rotate through 5 of the companies and over a six-week period all will be reviewed. We will then do that for about a full year. You will have homework assignments, and I can promise that, even if you are a seasoned investor your annual bottom line will improve. And if you do not do your homework, I can easily explain to you -- that is why most investors and nearly all traders lose money! It's right here in SafeHaven.com.


If you would like to have further information on my work / analytics or perhaps my professional asset management, mentoring or consulting - services ...
I would appreciate your sharing just a bit about yourself and your investment objectives,
Just send me an Email, and I will respond promptly.


Thank you for your time in reading my "stuff" and continued interest in my work / analytics.

Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",

 


 

Steve Bauer

Author: Steve Bauer

Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

Steve Bauer

Steve has several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and doctorate and a great deal of (too much) continued education. For seven years, he did a stent as a University Professor of Finance and Economics.

Dr. Bauer also writes for SeekingAlpha.com. His articles can be viewed at: http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer?source=search_general&s=steven-bauer

He owned a privately held asset management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.

Professionally he is a financial analyst and private asset manager / consultant / mentor.

Steve can be reached at senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Copyright © 2010-2013 Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

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