There is something important happening on the VIX that I want to point out
today ...
Note, that we have a yellow, down slopping resistance line on the VIX chart
that goes from June 2010 to April 2011. That resistance line was penetrated
to the upside on February 22nd ... the very day that the market started pulling
back.
Also note that the VIX has a blue horizontal resistance line, where it is
a positive condition if the VIX remains below it.
Here is the dilemma the VIX is in now: On Friday's close, the VIX was below
the horizontal support line, so that is a positive. But, at the same time,
the VIX is has remained above the sloping yellow line ... and that is a negative.
So, just as we are ready to start another Congressional budget battle this
week, the VIX is precariously balanced with a double test possibility. Here
are the VIX numbers to watch for today:
1. Today, a close above 17.80 on the VIX would expose the VIX to another
spike up, and down action in the market. So, our Washington politicians have
to get it right this week, or the market will judge them very harshly.
2. Conversely, a VIX close below 16.24 would be positive for market
rallying action and a pat on the back for Congress.
Marty Chenard is an Advanced Stock Market Technical Analyst that has developed
his own proprietary analytical tools and stock market models. As a result,
he was out of the market two weeks before the 1987 Crash in the most recent
Bear Market he faxed his Members in March 2000 telling them all to SELL. He
is an advanced technical analyst and not an investment advisor, nor a securities
broker.
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