Technically Speaking: Coiling Dollar Set to Unwind

By: Joseph Russo | Sat, Jul 9, 2011
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Wrap: Coiling Dollar Set to Unwind

Over the medium-term, like many other broad based indices, the dollar continues to consolidate in a rather large sideways range. Its boundaries however, are not visually discernable in looking out over the short and near term as we're doing here.

Over the near-term, the dollar has been coiling in a contracting triangle from late May. Although it reserves the right to continue coiling for a couple of more weeks, the longer it does so, the more violent the unwind may be.

If it goes too far, and moseys its way right on through the apex without fanfare, well then nothing may come of it at all. However, a near-term upside break or downside breach of the pattern carries a directional impact on the order of 2½ - 3¼ points from the point of escape.

US Dollar

Short-term, we have circled capture of the 75.25 target from Wednesday, and draw your attention to a potentially potent buy trigger just above the market.

So long as the 74.84 pivot low holds, this short-term long entry set-up could jettison the dollar in excess of 0.50 cents in the blink of an eye.


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I trust and hope that you have extracted something of actionable value from this edition of Technically Speaking.

Until next time,

Trade Better/Invest Smarter

 


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Joseph Russo

Author: Joseph Russo

Joseph Russo
Chief Editor and Technical Analyst
Elliott Wave Technology

Joseph Russo

Since the dot.com bubble, 911, and the 2002 market crash, Elliott Wave Technology's mission remains the delivery of valuable solutions-based services that empower clients to execute successful trading and investment decisions in all market environments.

Joe Russo is an entrepreneurial publisher and market analyst providing digital online media solutions designed to assist traders and investors in prudently and profitably navigating their exposure to the financial markets.

Since the official launch of his Elliott Wave Technology website in 2005, he has established an outstanding record of accomplishment, including but not limited to, ...

  • In 2005, he elicited a major long-term wealth producing nugget of guidance in suggesting strongly that members give serious consideration to apportioning 10%-20% of their net worth toward the physical acquisition of Gold (@ $400.) and Silver (@ $6.00).

  • In 2006, the (MTA) Market Technicians Association featured his article "Scaling Perceptions amid the Global Equity Boom" in their industry newsletter, "Technically Speaking."

  • On May 6 of 2007, five months prior to the market top in 2007, though still bullish at that time, he publicly warned long-term investors not to be fooled again, in "Bullish Like There's No Tomorrow."

  • On March 10 of 2008, with another 48% of downside remaining to the bottom of the great bear market of 2008-2009, in "V-for Vendetta," using the Wilshire 5000 as proxy, he publicly laid out the case for the depth and amplitude of the unfolding bear market, which marked terminal to a rather nice long-run in equity values.

  • Working extensively with EasyLanguage® programmer George Pruitt in 2010 and 2011, the author of "Building Winning Trading Systems with TradeStation," he assisted in the development of several proprietary trading systems.

  • On February 11, 2011, he publicly made available his call for a key bottom in the long bond at 117 '3/32. Within a year and half from his call, the long bond rallied in excess of 30% to new all time highs in July of 2012.

  • For the benefit of members and his general readership, he responded to widespread levels of economic and financial uncertainty in the development of Prudent Measures in 2012.

  • He publicly warned of a major top in Apple on October 26, 2012 in the very early stages of a 40% decline from its all time high.

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