For readers of my State of the Trend series, and those who study market trends,
the 140 point SP500 drop last week should come as no surprise. And, although
I'm sure the market won't follow exactly the path, slope and magnitude of previous
declines, keeping history in perspective certainly helps to prepare for what
the future may hold in store.
As dramatic and alarming as the above chart may seem, a look under the hood,
so to speak, of the SP500, reveals an even more sobering picture:
It shows diminishing support for the broad market and diminishing returns
from consecutive QE's. A much hoped for QE3 may artificially change the trend
of the market, but until $ Flow breaks above 2009 highs, that trend will remain
highly suspicious.
George Krum is the author of the "CIT Dates" blog and several
books available on Amazon.
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