Stock markets are tumbling from Japan to Wall Street. Already shaky Spanish
and Italian financial instruments are quaking in their fancy boots as Greece
does not make the cuts needed to be able to receive financial assistance. Vladimir
Putin, a prototypical example of a classic Russian Bear says that the American
Bull has blunted horns and suffers from impotence. He states, "Americans are
living beyond their means and shifting the weight of their problems to the
world economy...They are living like parasites off the global economy and their
monopoly of the dollar." China joined Putin by calling the brouhaha in the
West as "madcap brinksmanship."
The scepter of fear is haunting the fiscal world from West To East. International
turbulence is precipitating a search for safe havens. Treasuries (TLT) are
hitting new highs, the U.S. dollar (UUP) has bounced versus other currencies,
commodities (DBC) are being sold off and gold(GLD) and silver (SLV) bullion's
volatility has increased significantly.
These actions are signaling a notice of caution in an economy which is in
desperate need of jobs. It is not only the debt crisis, it is the DEBT. The
world is worried. No country including the United States can long remain a
global factor when dollars are being squirreled away at close to 0% interest
in cash and long term treasuries. This capital should be productively used
to build factories, mines and mills.
Dormant dollars and treasuries are not exactly the B12 injection that the
old bull needs. Do not be surprised as unemployment soars that the Fed at its
upcoming meetings does a reprise of the show from the summer of 2010. It may
not be a stretch to think that all of these developments may be programming
us for Chapter 3 in an ongoing series of quantitative easing to try to stimulate
job growth and to stave off a deflationary spiral as Operation Twist was a
dud.
By now our readers should realize that it is specifically those sectors representing
wealth in the earth resources such as the gold (GDX) and silver (SIL) miners
that will prove to be areas of sizable payouts in times to come. Our sectors
represent buys of a lifetime as the global economy is in convulsions.
It must be realized that not all wealth in the earth sectors move synchronously.
Gold and silver are unique in that over the centuries they move from peaks
to valleys and back again with breathtaking volatility. An examination of historic
charts reveal that despite the ongoing roller coaster the precious metal arc
rolls upward.
Right now, gold(GLD) has achieved our long awaited pullback to the $1600+
area. Our firm recommended taking partial profits in a percentage of our holdings
in gold before this pullback. It appears to be a prudent move as we witnessed
a short term decline. Now may be a more propitious time to reenter at oversold
conditions and after a healthy correction.
I started reading charts at eleven years old. One day my father, a market
trader and technician found his library of books on technical analysis mysteriously
disappearing. He later found the textbooks under my bed. For many years day
and night I studied technical analysis and charting, working and learning from
my father who has over 50 years of trading experience. Technical analysis is
my passion and love.
In 2001, I started noticing the junior mining stocks and gold as having a
tremendous upside. For the past 9 years I have researched many juniors and
have identified the major winners using technical analysis and finding top
management.
I earned a Bachelors Degree in Mathematics and a Masters Degree. I learned
most of my technical analysis from the school of hard knocks, managing real
money for myself and for my family.
Constantly perfecting my craft, I have traded for two decades of success in
many different markets. I have been asked to post ideas to some of my students
who have taken my course in charting and technical analysis. I have made an
excellent living trading stocks for myself.
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