Daily Analysis

By: TheWaveTrading | Tue, Dec 13, 2011
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As you know atm I am only interested in the time frame from the October 4 low.

In this time frame I reiterate my bullish stance.

The reason is very simple:

The corrective pullback occurred from the end October to the end November indicates that the EW pattern from the October lows is not over yet. Therefore a reasonable bullish resolution will bring higher prices ahead.

You also know that I have been working with 2 potential scenarios:

For the time being my primary count remains the ZZ option. I have the line in the sand in order to switch the preference with a eow print below 1215

If this count is correct price has to confirm a bottom pretty soon.

The upside potential for the assumed wave (C) = 1375 zone


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Regarding the short term EW pattern, I am working with a DZZ that could have been completed at yesterday's lod.


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In addition we have a potential Inverted Head & Shoulder which is worth 109 points.


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NDX is also "emanating" bullish vibrations. Here price should be involved in a large DZZ, but within the possible longer-term pattern, I am only interested in the wave structure from the November's low. Which in my opinion calls for a pending wave (C) up.


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Yesterday's bullish Hammer + the golden cross between the 50d & 200 d MA is strengthening the odds of a bullish resolution.

What remains a pain in the neck is the EUR.


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We all know that without a bottom in the EUR the bullish resolution of the equity pattern could be delayed.

I have been looking to several corrective options but none seems to be ok.

Instead maybe we have an Ending Diagonal in progress.

Today we have FOMC day then on Friday quarterly OPEX

Countdown to Christmas = 9 trading days

 


 

TheWaveTrading

Author: TheWaveTrading

TheWaveTrading

Contact: If you would like to contact the author, you can e-mail him at thewavetrading@gmail.com

The main objective of this project is to share my views on several markets and asset classes.

In the initial stage TWT website will be a free service.

My main focus will be the equity market with SPX being the leader but I will also follow US equity sectors, major European indices, fixed income, currencies and commodities markets.

My analysis is based upon traditional Technical Analysis, Elliot Wave guidelines and investor sentiment.

My goal is to establish the most likely path that the price of a particular asset will undertake and profit through ETF instruments both on the long and short side and mainly with leveraged ones (2 x & 3 x).

The advantage of ETF investments is that it allows getting involved in equity indices & sectors, currencies, fixed income, commodities etc.

Therefore the main purpose of TWT will be to establish investment strategies regardless if the market is in an up trend or in a down trend, leveraging the chosen scenario while managing the risk by establishing protective stop losses.

Hence I will always define the risk, I will try to let winners run the wave and I will cut the losses if my strategy is wrong.

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