As shown below, the market is currently being carried by tech, retail/consumer
discretionary, and banks. These sectors do have a big impact on the daily movement
in the S&P 500 Index - so gains can continue, but we would prefer to see
leadership broaden in the coming days and weeks.
For those with limited time, the most important technical points in the video
below begin at the 9:34 mark. Key points:
03:55 - 07:58: German stocks (EWG) pass technical retest.
07:58 - 09:34: Bull-bear bullet points.
09:34 - 16:17: Financial stocks have a similar look to a bullish
set-up from 2009.
16:17 - 21:00: S&P 500 history of money-printing induced bottoms
(1998-2012).
21:00 - 25:15: Longer-term buy signals for vast majority of global
stock markets are in place.
A concern, or bearish counterargument, not included in the video above, is
the narrow leadership in the current market. Outside of technology, retail/consumer
discretionary, homebuilders, and banks, there are few sectors, asset classes,
or regions of the globe exhibiting strong relative strength.
Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco
Capital Management, LLC. More on the web at www.ciovaccocapital.com.
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