Investing Wisely - Forecasts / Confirmations = Results!
It is Really Quite Simple
It begins with Accurate Forecasting and Analytic Procedures, then it requires Well Honed Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion Conformations, and it ends with Profitable - Results. (F / C = R)
Professors, F / C = R – Opinion of: Apple, Inc. (AAPL):
My Forecast is that AAPL will have a bounce (near-term) rally in the near-term and then continue lower.
Notes: a forecast is just that, an opinion based on the fundamental – valuation, technical charts and consensus opinion on data as well as the information and data that is available at the time of publishing the article. Each week I intend on featuring a new and well-known company for your consideration. I am sorry that cannot possible keep a weekly update for you. If you would like my most current thoughts on this or another company, please contact me by Email. (Serious investors only - Please!)
Confirmations: "Confirmations" are a review of my fundamental valuations and technical analytics. They are only available at the time of making investment decisions to take bullish or bearish positions.
Results: Positive results, like most things in life, come after doing a superior job. A superior job comes from experience and hard work.
Report Card on AAPL
|Consensus Opinion -
|Report Card -
Grade: (0 - 100 / A - F)
|AAPL||Excellent||Very Good||Excellent||89+ / B+|
My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every companies "Grade" can from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.
My article here in SafeHaven.com on "My Rotation Model" supports the above notes. (click here).
Do not buy or short AAPL without talking with a seasoned financial analyst or perhaps visiting with me via Email.
I suggest that you to take a long look at this 20-year chart. Having a longer-term perspective of a possible future investment will always give you a more consistent bottom line. Comparing AAPL with the SPDR, S&P 500 ETF (SPY) tells a very compelling story. If you would like my guidance as to why I suggest that this chart is so important, just let me know.
I am the guy who wrote the 38 week course on Investment Basics. See the link on the right column (side-bar) of SafeHaven.com – Home Page.
General Market - Where are We and Where are we Going?
These past couple of weeks may well have been the Bears breakthrough of the 2011 October rally. I believe that I will take further bearish positions in the near-term.
I do see another several day rally in the making.
My fundamentals are over-valued. My technicals are over-bought. My consensus opinions are much too bullish. The economy is in much more peril than is being reported by the media.
Therefore, I am bearish on the general market for the foreseeable future.
I will keep you posted ...
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Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",