The State of the Trend

By: George Krum | Sat, May 26, 2012
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Last week we suggested three good reasons why the market is due for a bounce. The 1289-1290 support zone held, and the SPX gained 22 points. In the process it even managed to close above the daily pivot line at 1317:


Source: Oddstrader

The outlook going forward, however, isn't that rosy. The SP500 remains trapped between the daily 50% and 38.2% retracement levels:


Source: OT Fibonacci

And market internals have become overbought again, placing an immediate further advance in doubt:

So far it looks like the SPX is building yet another bear flag, but the confirmation will come only with a break below the 50% retracement level at 1290.5. A jump over the 38.2% retracement at 1321.5 will open the door for a retest of the 1340 resistance level.


Source: OT Fibonacci.

 


 

George Krum

Author: George Krum

George Krum
www.citdates.blogspot.com

George Krum is the author of the "CIT Dates" blog and several books available on Amazon.

Gann 9 - the only financial app that allows users to effortlessly apply the legendary W.D. Gann's tools and methods (including the Square of 9).

OddsTrader - the only financial app that combines the power of Hurst Channels with proper risk and position size management, can be obtained from the Apple store. The Android version can be found here.

OT Trend - the second addition to the OddsTrader app family, allows you to quantify and forecast the seemingly random ebb and flow of stock, index or mutual fund movement.

OT Fibonacci - automates the process of applying Fibonacci numbers, ratios and time series to any security.

OT Seasonal - allows you to perform seasonal analysis on practically any security from around the world, anytime, anywhere.

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