Investing Wisely - Forecasts / Confirmations = Profitable Results!
It is Really Quite Simple
It begins with Accurate Forecasting and Analytic Procedures, then it requires Well Honed Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion Conformations, and it ends with Profitable Results. ( F / C = PR )
Professors, F / C = PR - - - Opinion of: General Electric Company (GE):
My near-term Forecast is that General Electric is having a mini / bounce (near-term) rally that will soon end and then the price per share will continue lower. There is not a bright picture for GE in the foreseeable future.
Notes: a forecast is just that, an opinion based on the fundamental - valuation, technical charts and consensus opinion on data as well as the information and data that is available at the time of publishing the article. The single factor that can upset a very good forecast is the News. That is why it is important to stay with the facts and real data and not be influenced by outside and temporal flows of media information. Each week I intend on featuring a new and well-known company for your consideration. I am sorry that cannot possible keep a weekly update for you. If you would like my most current thoughts on this or another company, please contact me by Email. (Serious investors only - Please!)
Confirmations: "Confirmations" are a review of my fundamental valuations and technical analytics. They are only available at the time of making investment decisions to take bullish or bearish positions.
Profitable Results: Profitable results, like most things in life, come after doing a superior job. A superior job comes from experience and hard work.
The Professors - Report Card on: General Electric Company (GE)
|Consensus Opinion -
|Report Card -
Grade: (0 - 100 / A - F)
- - Ascending - Status Quo - Descending
|GE||Poor||Poor||Good||69 / D - - Descending|
My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every companies "Grade" can from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.
My article here in SafeHaven.com on "My Rotation Model" supports the above notes. (click here).
Do not buy or short General Electric Company, without talking with a seasoned financial analyst or perhaps visiting with me via Email.
I suggest that you to take a long look at this 20-year chart. Having a longer-term perspective of a possible future investment will always give you a more consistent bottom line. Comparing General Electric Company with the SPDR, S&P 500 ETF (SPY) tells a very compelling story. If you would like my guidance as to why I suggest that this chart is so important, just let me know.
I am the guy who wrote the 38 week course on Investment Basics. See the link on the right column (side-bar) of SafeHaven.com - Home Page.
General Market - - Where are We and Where are we Going?
About a month ago I announced that the Bears have taken charge of the marketplace. I also said that there is still much downside to witness before a resumption of any meaningful rally. I believe that I will take further bearish positions in the near-term.
Hopefully, not to confuse you I also said about 2 weeks ago that do see a coming mini rally. That rally has been anemic until this past Thursday. See my Wednesday blog for this past week. With just two days in the books I have to expect more upside at least sometime next week. These forecasts have been - right on the button - if you are a follower of my blog for the past several months.
My fundamentals are over-valued. My technicals are over-bought. My consensus opinions are much too bullish. The economies of the world are in much more peril than is being reported by the media.
With the above statement having been my exact posting now for many weeks, the marketplace is going to react. That is going to continue to cause a great deal of hurt.
Therefore, I am bearish on the general market, the economy, and believe holding long positions for the foreseeable future is not WISE!
I will keep you posted ...
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So if my Forecasts are "Accurate" and my "Conformations" are working (and they are) then the above formula will yield "Profitable Results."
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Thanks for permitting me to share my "stuff."
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Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",