The SP500 rally from June 4th 2012 was led by (believe it or not) Utilities.
Or a defensive allocation of capital. This ended after ECB Presidents statements
of 'it will be enough' and then funds moved out of defensive to aggressive
sectors.
But or is it simply profit taking on the defensive rally, or a trend change.
The @RTDEF::@RTPRD cycle suggest that a 'risk on' period is due, and this correlates
with the expected bullish trend during a presidential cycle. Risk is on until
the angry bear wakes up. We hear that Merkel is back from holiday this week,
so the news should flow should either confirm or deny the 'path of least resistance'
bullish bias.
Listen how folks on TechTicker try to make a bullish spin, no matter how sad
reality is. The truth is that this is a QE wait rally. Nothing more or less.
Nothing to do with so called stock market valuations or economic fundamentals.
We expect a slump in stocks, until the world wide central banking policy is
clear.
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