SPX Short-Term Technical Review

By: TheWaveTrading | Tue, Aug 28, 2012
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There is no change of what I have discussed in my last weekend up date.

As a reminder:

For the immediate time frame, in my opinion, price is involved in a corrective pullback that could unfold a Zig Zag (abc), hence I am expecting a wave (c) down that could aim at the rising trend line in force since the June 4 low.

SPX
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The potential H&S has not been shaped hence the possible bottom of the current corrective pattern should be raised to the 0.618 retracement & TL in the area of 1382.

If yesterday's Shooting Star has established the top of the assumed wave (b), the wave (c) down has the equality extension target at 1387.53.

So this is my view based on the price structure.

If price is involved in a "bullish" Zig Zag down it should be completed by Friday (Jackson Hole Bernanke`s speech), in the mean time Mr. Draghi has cancelled his attendance/speech scheduled for Saturday, which is quite odd!!!!!!

The following Monday the US market is closed and on September 6 we will have the ECB Meeting. Given that Mr. Draghi will not attend Jackson Hole the market may spend more time before triggering the next directional move, hence instead of a Zig Zag price could unfold a Flat or a Triangle.

Conclusion:

The internal structure strongly suggest that the EWP off the June 4 low is not completed yet but for the immediate time frame we are at bay from the price reaction to next Friday Bernanke speech.

 


 

TheWaveTrading

Author: TheWaveTrading

TheWaveTrading

Contact: If you would like to contact the author, you can e-mail him at thewavetrading@gmail.com

The main objective of this project is to share my views on several markets and asset classes.

In the initial stage TWT website will be a free service.

My main focus will be the equity market with SPX being the leader but I will also follow US equity sectors, major European indices, fixed income, currencies and commodities markets.

My analysis is based upon traditional Technical Analysis, Elliot Wave guidelines and investor sentiment.

My goal is to establish the most likely path that the price of a particular asset will undertake and profit through ETF instruments both on the long and short side and mainly with leveraged ones (2 x & 3 x).

The advantage of ETF investments is that it allows getting involved in equity indices & sectors, currencies, fixed income, commodities etc.

Therefore the main purpose of TWT will be to establish investment strategies regardless if the market is in an up trend or in a down trend, leveraging the chosen scenario while managing the risk by establishing protective stop losses.

Hence I will always define the risk, I will try to let winners run the wave and I will cut the losses if my strategy is wrong.

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