EUR/USD: Pushing Higher Through the 200-Day Moving Average
EUR/USD continues to move higher despite deep overbought conditions. The resistance implied by the 200-day moving average has been breached. The next resistance is the 15 March low (1.3004). Support is at 1.2755 (11/09/2012 low).
The lack of base formation or sell-off suggests that the current strength in EUR is a rebound within an underlying downtrend. Given the current overbought conditions, we are waiting for signs of weakness to initiate a short EUR position.