SPX: Follow Up of the Short Term EWP

By: TheWaveTrading | Tue, Sep 18, 2012
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Yesterday SPX had a choppy session to the down side. Absence of impulsive action but maybe it was not an uneventful day.

Last Friday I posted a potential impulsive up leg off September 5 with a "thrust" out of a triangle wave (4).

If this count is correct then the possibility of a high is large if today there is follow through to the down side or if a rebound attempt fails and establishes a lower high.

If price breaches the trend line support odds of some type of a top at 1474.51 will substantially increase. (Some type of a top = the corrective up leg off the June 4 low is completed)

SPX 30-Minute Chart
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Daily RSI and Stochastic are displaying weakness signals:

SPX Momentum
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The weakness of the McClellan Oscillator is more intense; here we have a bearish cross of its Stochastic and quite a pronounced drop of the oscillator, despite yesterday's shallow SPX pullback.

NYSE McClellan Oscillator

Hence maybe Friday's Shooting Star has marked a peak.

If the up leg from the June 4 low is done, even though it looks like science fiction that this market will ever drop, SPX should begin a corrective phase to the down side which should observe some proportionality both time wise and with the size that price has traveled measured by the Fibonacci retracements. Just as a reminder the 0.382 retracement is at 1395.

SPX Daily Chart
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Today I will monitor AAPL since yesterday's Hanging Man + a potential exhaustion gap can be a reasonable candidate of a having established the top of the impulsive up leg from the May 18 low.

AAPL Daily Chart
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TheWaveTrading

Author: TheWaveTrading

TheWaveTrading

Contact: If you would like to contact the author, you can e-mail him at thewavetrading@gmail.com

The main objective of this project is to share my views on several markets and asset classes.

In the initial stage TWT website will be a free service.

My main focus will be the equity market with SPX being the leader but I will also follow US equity sectors, major European indices, fixed income, currencies and commodities markets.

My analysis is based upon traditional Technical Analysis, Elliot Wave guidelines and investor sentiment.

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