Saturday (morning) Market Wrap for September 22, 2012

By: Steve Bauer | Sat, Sep 22, 2012
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Good Morning:

As you may already know this is my regular posting of my proprietary General Market Index and is my Weekly measurement (Inflection Point Count - scale 0 max. Bearish / 100 max. Bullish) of the probability of a new Bullish and / or Bearish Inflection Point occurring in the very near-term. That means it is Imminent.

Accuracy in Forecasting is what it is all about:

This all dates back to over 50 years of my work / analytics of Inflection Points.

Bulls Eye

I have written a large number of articles on my Methodology which is based on the early and clear Forecasting and Identification of all Inflection Points. I know of no other source of information and data that provides LEADING guidance with this consistent accuracy.

I have written Articles on the following. Should you be interested, just let me know.

My Methodology:
My SHB Cycle Analysis:
My Rotation Model:
My Inflection Points:

I use the Dow Jones 30 Industrials as my reference. While I do not favor this Index it is for sure the most followed in the General Marketplace.

The below Dow Jones 30 Industrials Chart is updated Weekly and presented herein for your reference. It is also available and current in the following URL, 24/7 along with many very well know Companies that I use as Bellwether Companies. Check it / them out - you will like what you see!


Summary:

The Market was actually down a tiny bit this past week!

Treasuries were up a bit but have looked anemic for nearly 5 months.

Oil (Crude) took it on the chin by almost 6% and looks very Bearish.

Gold hung in there but was flat.

Commodities (Comprehensive) were down and also look very Bearish.

Last Week I Said:

I have been spending my time working on some old studies and they have paid off handsomely.

Please look at the following:

As you may already know my main focus is on the General Market Indices, then Sectors, then Industry Groups, then the component Companies. This is often described as the "Top-Down" approach to stock market analytics. My most recent successful study has been to quantify the price movement of the General Market Indices. You may also remember that I integrate the Breadth of the Marketplace, use Bond analytics, Momentum / Relative Strength / Volatility Indicators and more recently keep a close eye on the Put and Call Options Marketplace.

My Inflection Point Quantification Model lends itself well to the Indice Charts such as the Dow 30 Industrials, NY Composite and Nasdaq Composite. I have an updated and revised Chart that is live 24/7 for your inspection. It now has my Weekly measurement (Inflection Point Count - scale 0 max. Bearish / 100 max. Bullish).

The graphic presents a very accurate quantification of the probability of a new Bearish Inflection Point occurring in the very near-term. That means it is Imminent!

I am pleased because this graphic will permit you to see how I go about anticipating new Inflection Points. Here-to-for I have not been able to accurately quantify the Weekly price movements. I believe those days are now gone.

This all dates back to over 50 years of my work / analytics of Inflection Points. I have written a large number of articles on my Methodology which is based on the early and clear Forecasting and Identification of all Inflection Points. I know of no other source of information and data that provides LEADING guidance with this potential of consistent accuracy.

The following Chart may be used as a reference:

I use the Dow Jones 30 Industrials as my reference. While I do not favor this Index it is for sure the most followed in the General Marketplace. My favorites are the NY and Nasdaq Composite Indexes. I also now have a "Breadth" Composite Index to help keep me out of trouble.

The below Dow Jones 30 Industrials Chart (URL) is updated Weekly and presented herein for your on going (24/7) reference. My PublicChart List is a long with many very well know Companies that I use as High Profile / Bellwether Companies. Check it / them out - you will like what you see!

StockCharts (Dow Jones 30 Industrials) Public List: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p50720233760&a=270034212

Within the above Chart I have a (Purple) Legend - please read it at least twice for perspective:

I hope you will permit me to answer your Questions and Thoughts.

My Email Address: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com


StockCharts (ALL my High Profile - Bellwether Companies) Public List: http://stockcharts.com/public/1616666


The following are the thirteen Companies that I providing Articles and Alerts / Warnings. Remember, these are only my Bellwether Companies as a partial guide to use my Rotation Model to Identify the Currently Most Favorable Companies and ETFs to consider at the time of the above mentioned Inflection Points.

AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, T, XOM

I hope you will become a regular Follower and perhaps a valued Client. My work / analytics should be very compelling for your considering working with me.

Smile, have fun Investing Wisely,

 


 

Steve Bauer

Author: Steve Bauer

Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

Steve Bauer

Steve has several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and doctorate and a great deal of (too much) continued education. For seven years, he did a stent as a University Professor of Finance and Economics.

Dr. Bauer also writes for SeekingAlpha.com. His articles can be viewed at: http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer?source=search_general&s=steven-bauer

He owned a privately held asset management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.

Professionally he is a financial analyst and private asset manager / consultant / mentor.

Steve can be reached at senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Copyright © 2010-2013 Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

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