Elliott Wave on the DOW

By: Dan Stinson | Tue, Sep 25, 2012
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DOW Ending Diagonal Patterns

DOW Short Term Forecast

We have been tracing out two ending diagonal patterns for the DOW. The smaller ED pattern and possibly the larger ED pattern completed on Sept 23rd.

The corrective choppy action in wave (C) up is an ending diagonal pattern which is a terminal pattern. We should see further downside on the first chart below the lower trendline with a sharp decline to at least the starting point of the ED pattern at 12400. We may see a rally at this level, which could be part of the larger ED pattern if it isn't complete, but we will know well before the target is attained. The first chart below was posted on the site on Sept 24th and illustrates the smaller ED pattern. We can also see the same smaller and larger ED patterns for the NAS and the SPX. We also saw an even smaller ED pattern this morning to complete wave C of wave 2 up with the expected downside to follow.

DOW smaller ED pattern
DOW smaller ED pattern

DOW larger ED pattern
DOW larger ED pattern

If both patterns are complete, then a sharp decline below the 2009 lows would be expected. If the larger pattern is still in play, then after further downside, we would see another rally to the recent highs to complete the larger ED pattern. Either way, once the larger ED pattern is complete, substantial downside is ahead.

These charts are only a guide so that you can follow the action and monitor the expected outcome. The action could play out exactly as illustrated or it may need minor adjustments as we follow it through.

Happy Trading!!!

 


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Dan Stinson

Author: Dan Stinson

Dan Stinson
Elliott Wave Chart Site
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