SPY: Bull Trap Remains

By: Guy Lerner | Fri, Oct 19, 2012
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Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the S&P500 Depository Receipts (symbol: SPY).

Figure 1. SPY/ weekly
SPY weekly chart
Larger Image

Focus on the gray oval. The QE3 announcement week resulted in a break out, but it appears that this breakout will turn into a bull trap. The failure of price to hold above the rising trendline should be concerning to the bulls. Failed breakouts often lead to strong moves in the opposite direction. Resistance is at the key pivot point of 146.34, and support is the low of the negative divergence bar (pink labeled price bars). A weekly close below this low at 142.95 would likely confirm the double top.

This is a bull trap until proven otherwise.

 


 

Guy Lerner

Author: Guy Lerner

Guy M. Lerner
http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/

Disclaimer: Guy M. Lerner is the editor and founder of The Technical Take blog. His commentary on the financial markets is based upon information thought to be reliable and is not meant as investment advice. Under no circumstances does the information in his columns represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Lerner may on occasion hold positions in the securities mentioned in his columns and on the Web site; in all instances, all positions are fully disclosed at http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/. However, their positions may change at anytime. For more information on any of the above, please review The Technical Take's full Terms of Use and Privacy Policy (link below). While Lerner cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send your comments to: guy@thetechnicaltake.com.

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